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Bank of Japan Decision in September?
polymarket

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

Jun 17, 2026, 7:32 PM EST - Sep 18, 2026, 11:59 AM EST
Total volume:
$348,024
Volume 24h:
$1,148
17%
Liquidity:
$57,670
2%
Open interest:
$72,505N/A

25 bps increase

 - Polymarket

25 bps increase - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 18, 2026

Time left: 22d:06h:50m

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

86%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 87¢ buys you 115 shares | Odds: 86% Total Payout: $115 | Net Profit: $15 Multiplier: 1.15x | ROI: 15% High Projected APY: 908% 22 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25 bps increase

Trade
86%
Yes 87¢No 15¢
$10,525
$119,027
0%
6%
N/A
3w 1d 6h
active
polymarket

No change

14%
1%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
$10,898
$120,487
0.44%
6%
N/A
3w 1d 6h
active
polymarket

50+ bps increase

1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.2¢
0.3¢
$12,111
$67,606
0.92%
17%
N/A
3w 1d 6h
active
polymarket

25 bps decrease

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$11,280
$20,770
0%
0.01%
N/A
3w 1d 6h
active
polymarket

50+ bps decrease

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$12,855
$20,134
0%
0.76%
N/A
3w 1d 6h
active
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.