TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$74,125,922
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,074,751,399
57,323
Markets across
1,220
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
What are the latest political prediction market odds?
Political prediction market odds across major platforms. Track elections, legislation, appointments, and key political events. Read more...
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View moreWill Trump say "Gulf of America" before Sep 1, 2026?
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Insights
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Indices30.1/ 100
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24H ↑ 0.17D ↑ 0.6
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#
Event
% Chance
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Ends in
Trade
| # | Event | % Chance | Price | Liquidity | Volume | 24h | 7d | Ends in | Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil Presidential Election  | 31 markets | $14,860,860 | $139,178,850 | +2% | +7% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 2 | Fed Decision in September? | 10 markets | $3,817,118 | $54,798,098 | +4% | +38% | Trade on | |||
| 3 | Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? | 26 markets | $808,476 | $2,035,566 | +53% | +882% | Trade | |||
| 4 | Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 102 markets | $67,627,563 | $693,988,136 | +0.09% | +0.53% | Trade on | |||
| 5 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? | 20 markets | $799,928 | $21,555,896 | +2% | +24% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 6 | Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? | 25 markets | $261,801 | $40,989,223 | +0.97% | +5% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 7 | Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 102 markets | $84,725,218 | $1,267,767,972 | +0.03% | +0.38% | Trade on | |||
| 8 | Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? | 28 markets | N/A | $2,597,668 | +12% | +153% | Trade | |||
| 9 | Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? | 8 markets | $2,277,986 | $22,536,346 | +1% | +8% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 10 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? | 6 markets | $410,369 | $4,070,950 | +7% | +665% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 11 | Next French Presidential Election | 83 markets | $17,886,181 | $122,214,904 | +0.21% | +2% | Trade on | |||
| 12 | Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 8 markets | $177,680 | $284,845,815 | +0.09% | +0.8% | Trade | |||
| 13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | 8% | Yes 8¢ / No 93¢ | $516,292 | $6,519,545 | +4% | +31% | Trade | ||
| 14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 34% | Yes 34¢ / No 67¢ | $397,871 | $9,748,613 | +2% | +13% | Trade | ||
| 15 | Will the SAVE Act become law? | 4% | Yes 4¢ / No 96.2¢ | N/A | $12,703,881 | +2% | +7% | Trade | ||
| 16 | Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? | 26 markets | $722,090 | $452,377 | +80% | N/A | Trade | |||
| 17 | Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? | 31 markets | $45,417 | $886,844 | +25% | +469% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 14% | Yes 15¢ / No 86¢ | $525,623 | $11,159,621 | +1% | +52% | Trade | ||
| 19 | Putin out as President of Russia by...? | 5 markets | $990,786 | $21,865,214 | +0.65% | +3% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 20 | Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 84 markets | $58,405,352 | $691,789,101 | +0.02% | +0.39% | Trade on | |||
| 21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? | 6 markets | $851,548 | $65,885,333 | +0.23% | +1% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 22 | Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | 19 markets | $2,875,030 | $33,262,118 | +0.42% | +2% | Trade | |||
| 23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | 2% | Yes 1.6¢ / No 98.5¢ | $228,589 | $775,597 | +21% | +116% | Trade | ||
| 24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? | 2 markets | $428,229 | $23,714,962 | +0.43% | +6% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 25 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 4% | Yes 4.2¢ / No 96.1¢ | $390,269 | $40,360,994 | +0.31% | +1% | Trade | ||
| 26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | 10 markets | $554,294 | $71,743,858 | +0.17% | +0.85% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 27 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 4% | Yes 4.3¢ / No 95.8¢ | $198,606 | $12,767,654 | +0.79% | +4% | Trade | ||
| 28 | Trump out as President by August 31? | 6 markets | $244,638 | $6,587,986 | +2% | +11% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 29 | Iran leadership change by...? | 14 markets | $471,207 | $24,154,418 | +0.4% | +2% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 30 | Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? | 14 markets | $723,953 | $3,199,615 | +3% | +4% | Trade | |||
| 31 | Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? | 11 markets | $400,342 | $10,390,333 | +0.74% | +9% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 32 | Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? | 19 markets | $1,015,474 | $5,268,189 | +2% | +7% | Trade | |||
| 33 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? | 6 markets | $193,148 | $1,531,156 | +5% | +27% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 34 | Next Prime Minister of Sweden | 10 markets | $1,193,208 | $4,182,277 | +1% | +12% | Trade | |||
| 35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 13% | Yes 13¢ / No 88¢ | $810,486 | $60,042,414 | +0.1% | +2% | Trade | ||
| 36 | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place | 18 markets | $1,941,767 | $5,340,844 | +1% | +8% | Trade | |||
| 37 | Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? | 46 markets | $44,379 | $400,295 | +12% | N/A | Trade | |||
| 38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? | 7 markets | $327,890 | $6,144,030 | +0.75% | +4% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 39 | Will the federal gas tax be suspended? | 2 markets | $0 | $341,819 | +17% | +21% | Trade | |||
| 40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | 9 markets | $747,884 | $16,493,351 | +0.3% | +5% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 41 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 7% | Yes 7¢ / No 94¢ | $668,711 | $25,289,503 | +0.18% | +2% | Trade | ||
| 42 | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 5 markets | $983,927 | $10,484,785 | +0.39% | +3% | Trade | |||
| 43 | South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory | 12 markets | $348,096 | $253,953 | +19% | N/A | Trade | |||
| 44 | Which party will win the House in 2026? | 2 markets | $701,433 | $9,777,564 | +0.36% | +3% | Trade | |||
| 45 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | 12% | Yes 13¢ / No 89¢ | $66,064 | $1,513,107 | +2% | +17% | Trade | ||
| 46 | US-Iran nuclear deal? | 12 markets | N/A | $13,309,220 | +0.2% | +3% | Trade | |||
| 47 | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place | 19 markets | $707,942 | $619,283 | +6% | +11% | Trade | |||
| 48 | Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner | 9 markets | $820,871 | $1,408,313 | +2% | +5% | Trade | |||
| 49 | Iran leader end of 2026? | 32 markets | $2,299,824 | $38,850,482 | +0.08% | +0.42% | Trade | |||
| 50 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? | 6 markets | $182,127 | $3,568,514 | +0.86% | +3% | See markets | Trade | ||
| Events per page: 50 · 1–50 of 336 | ||||||||||