TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.1b
24H VOL:
$108,040,032
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,819,523,799
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,638,571,346
66,513
Markets across
1,349
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
139
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
What are the latest political prediction market odds?
Election & political predictions. Compare market odds and forecasts on political outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is very likely at 100% · best 62.9¢ on Predict | Politics | 100%+79% | $285M | $827K |  K | |
| 2 | Democratic Party is very likely at 91% · best 90.3¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 91% | $95M | $7.0M | K | |
| 3 | 4 markets active until resolution · 5 resolved | Politics | — | $10M | $254K | Disputed | |
| 4 | Democrats Sweep is slightly favoured at 64% · best 45.2¢ on Predict | Politics | 64%−1% | $103M | $12M | K | |
| 5 | October 24 is very likely at 100% · 99.7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 100% | $27M | $447K | | |
| 6 | Close call — Gadi Eizenkot at 54% · best 51¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 54%+2% | $55M | $3.8M | K | |
| 7 | James Talarico is likely at 65% · best 65¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 65% | $49M | $836K | K | |
| 8 | No clear favourite — J.D. Vance leads at 40% · best 40.2¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 40%−3% | $788M | $51M | K | |
| 9 | No clear favourite — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 16% · best 14¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 16% | $1.55B | $77M | K | |
| 10 | Yashar is likely at 72% · 72¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 72% | $3.1M | $831K | | |
| 11 | No clear favourite — Person C leads at 44% · 45¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 44%+31% | $3.0M | $605K | | |
| 12 | 1 market active until resolution | Politics | 20% | $797M | $63M | K | |
| 13 | Iotova <10% is very likely at 98% · 99.5¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 98%+79% | $1.9M | $485K | | |
| 14 | No clear favourite — Marine Le Pen leads at 44% · best 43.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 44% | $158M | $19M | K | |
| 15 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 4% · 4.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 4% | $75M | $642K | | |
| 16 | No clear favourite — Anna Kelly leads at 21% · 24¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 21%−5% | $3.6M | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) is likely at 69% · 69¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 69%−4% | $12M | $449K | K | |
| 18 | 7 markets active until resolution · 8 resolved | Politics | — | $510K | $363K | Disputed | |
| 19 | Democratic party is likely at 75% · best 75¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 75% | $5.0M | $799K | K | |
| 20 | 8 markets active until resolution · 3 resolved | Politics | 64%−24% | $1.9M | $708K | Disputed | |
| 21 | No clear favourite — 320-339 leads at 41% · 41¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 41%+15% | $1.3M | $174K | | |
| 22 | No clear favourite — Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? leads at 25% · 25¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 25%+4% | $6.0M | $106K | K | |
| 23 | Democratic party is slightly favoured at 60% · best 60¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 60%−1% | $13M | $270K | K | |
| 24 | Greg Abbott (R) is likely at 68% · best 68¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 68%+1% | $6.2M | $359K | K | |
| 25 | Amy Acton (D) is likely at 82% · best 82¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 82% | $5.7M | $244K | K | |
| 26 | 2 markets active until resolution · 17 resolved | Politics | 57%+3% | $121M | $316K | K | |
| 27 | October 21 is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 100% | $2.5M | $124K | | |
| 28 | 65-89 is slightly favoured at 60% · 61¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 60% | $439K | $102K | | |
| 29 | Sherrod Brown (D) is likely at 68% · best 68¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 68%−1% | $10M | $390K | K | |
| 30 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 1.9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 2% | $45M | $441K | | |
| 31 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is slightly favoured at 60% · 60¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 60% | $18M | N/A | K | |
| 32 | Democratic Party is likely at 65% · 65¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 65% | $9.2M | $3.1M | | |
| 33 | Kathy Hochul (D) is very likely at 95% · best 94.7¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 95% | $5.3M | $185K | K | |
| 34 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 9% · 9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 9%−7% | $994K | $217K | | |
| 35 | No clear favourite — ≤47 leads at 29% · best 14¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 29% | $7.9M | $2.8M | K | |
| 36 | Roger Marshall (R) is slightly favoured at 61% · best 61¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 61% | $5.9M | $375K | K | |
| 37 | Pete Ricketts is likely at 73% · best 73¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 73%−3% | $4.4M | $749K | K | |
| 38 | March 31 is slightly favoured at 56% · 57¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 56%−2% | $43M | $359K | | |
| 39 | Nicolás Maduro is likely at 77% · best 75.8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 77% | $105M | $2.8M | K | |
| 40 | No clear favourite — Lula, Eizenkot, Dems leads at 46% · 48¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 46%+34% | $440K | $94K | | |
| 41 | 19% chance this happens · Yes at 19¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 19%−1% | $75M | $319K | | |
| 42 | 12 markets active until resolution | Politics | 99%+1% | $168K | $248K | Disputed | |
| 43 | Xavier Becerra is very likely at 97% · best 93.7¢ on Predict | Politics | 97% | $45M | $10M | K | |
| 44 | 12% chance this happens · Yes at 12¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 12% | $16M | $637K | | |
| 45 | Chiang Wan-an is slightly favoured at 63% · best 64¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 63% | $2.4M | $338K | K | |
| 46 | No clear favourite — 20-24 leads at 43% · 44¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 43%+2% | $1.3M | $433K | | |
| 47 | 1% chance this happens · Yes at 0.6¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 1% | $3.4M | $276K | | |
| 48 | Olivia Chow is likely at 79% · 80¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 79% | $799K | $576K | | |
| 49 | No clear favourite — Below 193 leads at 36% · 37¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 36% | $5.8M | $338K | K | |
| 50 | No clear favourite — 300-319 leads at 19% · 19¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 19% | $338K | $185K | | |
Events per page:501–50 of 404 | |||||||