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56,734
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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December 31
- Polymarket
December 31 - Polymarket
1W
News
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Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Latest in Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
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Intro
This market tracks whether a high-ranking US official will make a definitive public statement confirming the existence of extraterrestrial life or technology. On Polymarket, the probability that such confirmation occurs before the end of 2026 stands at 7.5%, with a narrower 3.8% probability for confirmation by September 30, 2026. Resolution will be determined by official statements from the President, Cabinet members, Joint Chiefs of Staff, or federal agencies, with credible reporting serving as a secondary source. Watch for any formal government announcements or congressional disclosures leading up to the September 30, 2026 betting deadline.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
