TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$108,040,032

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,638,571,346

66,513

Markets across

1,349

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
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Politics
Republican VP Nominee 2028
kalshi
polymarket

Who will be the 2028 Republican VP nominee?

Total volume:
$1,708,932
Volume 24h:
$175,342
26%
Liquidity:
$1,134,926
6%
Open interest:
$1,112,636
0%

Marco Rubio

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

28%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 29¢ buys you 345 shares | Odds: 28% Total Payout: $345 | Net Profit: $245 Multiplier: 3.45x | ROI: 245% | APY: 84% 743 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Marco Rubio

Trade
28%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$56,901
$12,305
0.24%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio

26%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$315,438
0.06%
N/A
$198,222
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26.1%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Thomas Massie

7%
2%
Yes 8.7¢No 94.8¢
3.5¢
$30,557
$1,195
5%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Marjorie Taylor Greene

6%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.5¢
0.4¢
$29,535
$2,531
0.92%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

J.D. Vance

7%
1%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
$55,744
$4,563
1%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

J.D. Vance

6%
Yes 5.4¢No 94.7¢
0.1¢
N/A
$221,218
0.05%
N/A
$135,282
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.5%
Yes 7.2¢No 94.9¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Katie Britt

8%
Yes 38.2¢No 99¢
37.2¢
$9,835
$758
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Katie Britt

5%
Yes 4.9¢No 97¢
1.9¢
N/A
$57,285
0%
N/A
$51,611
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 21.6¢No 98¢
Avg: 19.6¢Max: 37.2¢
kalshi

Donald J. Trump Jr.

4%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.4¢
0.6¢
N/A
$78,728
0%
N/A
$65,788
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Vivek Ramaswamy

4%
Yes 19.8¢No 99.5¢
19.3¢
$24,664
$879
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Erika Kirk

4%
Yes 3.5¢No 97.7¢
1.2¢
N/A
$156,453
0%
N/A
$111,821
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Erika Kirk

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.5¢
0.4¢
$23,121
$984
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.7%
Yes 2.2¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1.2¢
polymarket

Ivanka Trump

3%
Yes 6.5¢No 99.7¢
6.2¢
$28,990
$688
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Donald Trump Jr.

3%
1%
Yes 4.9¢No 98.8¢
3.7¢
$37,214
$1,983
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Tim Scott

3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$5,147
0%
N/A
$2,902
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Ron DeSantis

3%
Yes 3¢No 98.3¢
1.3¢
N/A
$56,087
0.01%
N/A
$44,034
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Ron DeSantis

2%
Yes 3.7¢No 98.9¢
2.6¢
$35,882
$1,178
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 3.4¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2.6¢
kalshi

Glenn Youngkin

3%
Yes 2.7¢No 98.6¢
1.3¢
N/A
$137,477
0%
N/A
$49,634
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Glenn Youngkin

2%
1%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.2¢
1.9¢
$45,151
$895
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.8%
Yes 2.7¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 1.6¢Max: 1.9¢
kalshi

Elise Stefanik

3%
Yes 2.3¢No 98.8¢
1.1¢
N/A
$45,803
0%
N/A
$35,180
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Elise Stefanik

2%
Yes 3¢No 99.4¢
2.4¢
$45,016
$844
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.8%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 1.8¢Max: 2.4¢
polymarket

Joe Kent

3%
Yes 4.9¢No 99.7¢
4.6¢
$22,321
$925
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Donald Trump

4%
1%
Yes 6.7¢No 99.2¢
5.9¢
$27,601
$2,416
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Donald J. Trump

2%
Yes 2.3¢No 98¢
0.3¢
N/A
$172,238
0%
N/A
$101,048
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.3%
Yes 4.5¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 5.9¢
kalshi

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$62,906
0%
N/A
$53,030
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
Total markets: 25 of 58

Description

This group forecasts who will be the Republican Vice-Presidential nominee in the 2028 US Presidential election. The market resolves based on the first individual formally nominated by the Republican Party and who accepts the nomination.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists numerous potential candidates, resolving YES if any are nominated and accept, while Polymarket has individual markets for each candidate and relies on official GOP sources for resolution.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for individual candidates as they provide a clearer resolution path tied to official nomination processes. Be cautious of Kalshi's broad scope, which could lead to unexpected resolutions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Each candidate has a dedicated market resolving YES if they are formally nominated *and* accept the nomination, using official GOP sources (https://www.gop.com) as the primary source.
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if *any* of the listed individuals (a very extensive list) accept the nomination for Vice President. No specific source is prioritized beyond the acceptance of the nomination.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kalshi

If J.D. Vance accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald J. Trump accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald J. Trump Jr. accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ron DeSantis accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Rubio accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Glenn Youngkin accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nikki Haley accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Greg Abbott accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Kemp accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Hawley accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ted Cruz accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sarah Huckabee Sanders accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Gaetz accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Byron Donalds accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elise Stefanik accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Katie Britt accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Thune accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulsi Gabbard accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erika Kirk accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.