TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
What are economics prediction markets pricing in?
Economic predictions & market forecasts. Compare odds on inflation, growth, and macroeconomic trends. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Above 3.50 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $987K | N/A | K | |
| 2 | No clear favourite — US recession by end of 2026? leads at 8% · 8¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 8% | $6.2M | $66K |  K | |
| 3 | Above 125 bu/acre is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $435K | N/A | K | |
| 4 | Above 3.50% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $469K | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Above 4.0000 is very likely at 99% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99%+49% | $508K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Hike 25bps is likely at 81% · 81¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 81%−1% | $592K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | Above 3.75% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $487K | N/A | K | |
| 8 | Hike 25bps is likely at 75% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 75% | $1.4M | N/A | K | |
| 9 | Above 87.5 TWh is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $275K | N/A | K | |
| 10 | Above 2.2% is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $296K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | Above 4.1 million is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $331K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | Above $6.10 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $533K | N/A | K | |
| 13 | Exactly 2 is likely at 79% · 79¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 79%+6% | $325K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Above 3.50 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $299K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | No clear favourite — Above $4.60 leads at 39% · 39¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 39%−8% | $1.9M | N/A | K | |
| 16 | No clear favourite — Above 91,500 MW leads at 5% · 6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 5% | $884K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Above 3.1% is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $355K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | 21% chance this happens · Yes at 22¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 21% | $756K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 98% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $854K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $306K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | No clear favourite — Above $6.60 leads at 31% · 32¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 31% | $448K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | Above 3.2% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $615K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | 0 cuts is very likely at 95% · 98.4¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95%−1% | $520K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 13% · 14¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 13% | $3.6M | $53K | | |
| 25 | Above 5.6 million barrels/day is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $373K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | 6% chance this happens · Yes at 6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 6%+3% | $1.6M | N/A | K | |
| 27 | No clear favourite — Above 4.5% leads at 12% · 13¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 12% | $1.4M | $26K | K | |
| 28 | Above 235,000 jobs is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $455K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | 3% chance this happens · Yes at 2.9¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 3% | $686K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — At least 4.5% leads at 21% · 21.1¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 21% | $570K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | 4.0–5.0% is very likely at 96% · 97.2¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 96% | $944K | $119K | | |
| 32 | Fed maintains rate is likely at 67% · 67¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 67% | $288K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — June 2027 Meeting leads at 49% · 49¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 49% | $3.8M | $159K | | |
| 34 | 2.1% to 2.5% is likely at 68% · 70¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 68% | $430K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | 94% chance this happens · Yes at 94.6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 94% | $32M | N/A | K | |
| 36 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 12% · 12¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 12% | $447K | $2K | | |
| 37 | 19% chance this happens · Yes at 20¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 19% | $26M | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 95% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95% | $718K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | No clear favourite — At least 250 billion leads at 8% · 7.6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 8% | $279K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | Above 81,000 jobs is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 97% | $639K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | No clear favourite — Q1 2026 leads at 9% · 5.3¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 9% | $521K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | No clear favourite — More than $1.4 trillion leads at 15% · 16¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 15%−1% | $469K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | Above $3,800 is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $332K | N/A | K | |
Events per page:501–43 of 43 | |||||||