TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Financials
Other
Economics
Entertainment
Science and Technology
World
Recession in 2027?
kalshi

Recession in 2027?

Apr 24, 2026, 3:15 PM EST - Jan 31, 2028, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$755,674
Volume 24h:
$6,161
49%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$367,641
0.02%

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 31, 2028

Will there be a recession in 2027?

21%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 21¢ buys you 476 shares | Odds: 21% Total Payout: $476 | Net Profit: $376 Multiplier: 4.76x | ROI: 376% | APY: 244% 461 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

Trade
21%
1%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$755,674
0.82%
N/A
$367,641
1y 3mo
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether the U.S. economy experiences two consecutive quarters of negative growth as measured by the Bureau of Economic Analysis between Q4 2026 and Q4 2027. It focuses on determining if a recession, defined by this specific metric, occurs within this timeframe. The outcome depends solely on official economic data released during the specified period.

Kalshi

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.