TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.1b
24H VOL:
$108,040,032
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,819,523,799
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,638,571,346
66,513
Markets across
1,349
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
139
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude is slightly favoured at 57% · best 54¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 57%+5% | $18M | $1.3M | ||
| 2 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 23% · 23¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 23% | $37M | N/A | K | |
| 3 | Above 7 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $426K | N/A | K | |
| 4 | 5% chance this happens · Yes at 5¢ on Predict | Science and Technology | 5% | $3.4M | $294K | ![]() | |
| 5 | Gemini is very likely at 86% · 86¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 86%−3% | $662K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Central African Republic is slightly favoured at 58% · 58¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 58% | $479K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | Before Jan 1, 2030 is likely at 81% · 82¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 81% | $254K | N/A | K | |
| 8 | 16% chance this happens · Yes at 15¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 16%−1% | $423K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 24% · 21¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 24%−4% | $263K | N/A | K | |
| 10 | 0 is likely at 78% · 78¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 78%−3% | $410K | $71K | ||
| 11 | No clear favourite — OpenAI leads at 14% · 16¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 14%−3% | $437K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 23% · 23¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 23% | $3.1M | $55K | ||
| 13 | Denver, CO is very likely at 92% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 92% | $447K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | No clear favourite — Before 2030 leads at 44% · 44¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 44% | $560K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | 3% chance this happens · Yes at 4¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 3%−1% | $1.0M | N/A | K | |
| 16 | Anthropic is likely at 78% · 78¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 78%−1% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Above 5000 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 18 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 21% · 24¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 21%+4% | $1.7M | $5K | ||
| 19 | Before Dec 31, 2026 is slightly favoured at 57% · 57¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 57%−4% | $366K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Above 120 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $1.1M | $7K | K | |
| 21 | Before 2030 is slightly favoured at 64% · 64¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 64% | $873K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | 6% chance this happens · Yes at 19¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 6%−1% | $316K | $615 | ||
| 23 | 11% chance this happens · Yes at 11¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 11%+1% | $444K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | <5 is slightly favoured at 59% · 60¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 59%+3% | $526K | $14K | ||
| 25 | No clear favourite — Hodge Conjecture leads at 36% · 36¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 36% | $277K | $52K | ||
| 26 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 11% · 13¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 11% | $1.1M | N/A | K | |
| 27 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 5.9¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 4% | $836K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | No clear favourite — 1 leads at 30% · 69¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 30% | $1.2M | $6K | ||
| 29 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 2.7¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 2% | $2.0M | N/A | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — Earbuds/Headphones leads at 20% · 18¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 20%+4% | $459K | $31K | ||
| 31 | Close call — At least 1540 score at 51% · 50¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 51% | $327K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | No clear favourite — 14–16 leads at 48% · 48¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 48%+21% | $1.5M | $2K | ||
| 33 | No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 27% · 27¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 27% | $1.1M | $77K | ||
| 34 | 1% chance this happens · Yes at 1.3¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 1% | $2.0M | $21K | ||
| 35 | 16% chance this happens · Yes at 16¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 16% | $331K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | Before 2035 is likely at 78% · 87.8¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 78% | $337K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 4.8¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 4% | $333K | $32K | ||
Events per page:501–37 of 37 | |||||||