TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$75,165,326

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,095,709,366

58,436

Markets across

1,256

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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World
Measles cases in 2026?
kalshi

Measles cases in 2026?

Oct 15, 2025, 10:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,089,762
Volume 24h:
$3,337
10%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$332,327
0.35%

Above 3000

 - Kalshi

Above 3000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be more than 3000 measles cases in 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 3% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3000

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$66,789
0.53%
7%
$22,542
4mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above 4000

Trade
89%
3%
Yes 89¢No 13¢
2¢
N/A
$373,626
0.59%
4%
$90,636
4mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above 6000

Trade
35%
1%
Yes 35¢No 67¢
2¢
N/A
$227,527
0.33%
8%
$79,711
4mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above 8000

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 18¢No 85¢
3¢
N/A
$133,820
0.02%
4%
$41,838
4mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above 10000

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$154,264
0%
1%
$52,611
4mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above 2000

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$95,929
N/A
N/A
$34,701
4mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 1500

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$19,699
N/A
N/A
$4,047
4mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 1750

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$18,108
N/A
N/A
$6,240
4mo 5d
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This market tracks the total number of confirmed measles cases reported in the United States during the 2026 calendar year. Measles is a highly contagious viral disease, and case counts are monitored by public health authorities as an indicator of disease prevalence and vaccination coverage.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes based on the total number of measles cases reported in 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: above 1500, above 1750, above 2000, above 3000, above 4000, above 6000, above 8000, or above 10000 cases. The resolution is determined by the official case count reported by relevant public health authorities for the 2026 calendar year.