TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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World
Measles cases in 2026?
kalshi

Measles cases in 2026?

Oct 15, 2025, 10:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,290,309
Volume 24h:
$513,857
75%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$328,162
0.04%

Above 5000

 - Kalshi

Above 5000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 6% Illiquid market 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5000

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$100
0%
N/A
$100
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 6000

Trade
83%
Yes 83¢No 20¢
3¢
N/A
$292,983
0.08%
N/A
$69,384
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 7000

Trade
44%
Yes 44¢No 61¢
5¢
N/A
$2,875
11%
N/A
$2,066
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 8000

Trade
21%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$178,567
0.19%
N/A
$55,453
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 9000

Trade
21%
Yes 17¢No 88¢
5¢
N/A
$474
0%
N/A
$444
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 10000

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$169,234
0.32%
N/A
$53,096
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 4000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$432,133
N/A
N/A
$76,514
2mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,209
N/A
N/A
$26,118
2mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

Above 2000

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,929
N/A
N/A
$34,701
2mo 6d
No
kalshi

Above 1500

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$19,699
N/A
N/A
$4,047
2mo 6d
No
kalshi

Above 1750

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$18,108
N/A
N/A
$6,240
2mo 6d
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market tracks the total number of confirmed measles cases reported in the United States during the 2026 calendar year. Measles is a highly contagious viral disease, and case counts are monitored by public health authorities as an indicator of disease prevalence and vaccination coverage.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes based on the total number of measles cases reported in 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: above 1500, above 1750, above 2000, above 3000, above 4000, above 6000, above 8000, or above 10000 cases. The resolution is determined by the official case count reported by relevant public health authorities for the 2026 calendar year.