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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
polymarket

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Jan 29, 2026, 7:03 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,107,180
Volume 24h:
$2,591
45%
Liquidity:
$56,515
5%
Open interest:
$139,967N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

44%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 44% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% | APY: 84% 491 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
44%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
$3,669
$13,396
17%
155%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

June 30, 2027

32%
1%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
$4,439
$4,510
0%
18%
N/A
10mo 1w
active
polymarket

February 28, 2027

23%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
$5,244
$944
0%
0.55%
N/A
6mo 5d
active
polymarket

January 31, 2027

22%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
$5,256
$1,296
0%
0%
N/A
5mo 1w
active
polymarket

December 31

19%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
$21,215
$135,287
0.08%
3%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

September 30

4%
Yes No 96.2¢
0.2¢
$16,692
$344,748
0.15%
3%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

June 30

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$607,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.