TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

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45%

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Kalshi:

55%

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Will GameStop acquire eBay?
kalshi
polymarket

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Total volume:
$6,851,149
Volume 24h:
$32,335
88%
Liquidity:
$67,737
175%
Open interest:
$1,186,109
0.38%

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

 - Polymarket

Will GameStop acquire eBay? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

7%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 7¢ buys you 1,429 shares | Odds: 7% Total Payout: $1,429 | Net Profit: $1,329 Multiplier: 14.29x | ROI: 1,329% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$67,737
$3,244,171
0.63%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

5%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$3,606,978
0.33%
N/A
$1,186,109
2mo 6d
active
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group centers on the possibility of GameStop acquiring eBay. The markets assess whether an official announcement of an acquisition, merger, or controlling interest purchase will occur by December 31, 2026. Resolution hinges on credible sources confirming such a deal.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms primarily focus on an official announcement of an acquisition or merger by GameStop of eBay before the specified deadline.Primary resolution logic: Official information from eBay and GameStop; consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is triggered by an official announcement of an acquisition, merger, or controlling interest purchase.
  • A 'controlling interest' is defined as more than 50% equity or equivalent control.
  • The relevant timeframe for resolution is before January 1, 2027.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Partial Acquisition: Announcements of partial sales may count if GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay.
  • Announced vs. Completed: An announcement of the acquisition within the timeframe is sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution, even if the acquisition doesn't fully complete by the deadline.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon the official announcement of an acquisition, merger, or controlling interest purchase by GameStop of eBay, or upon reaching the deadline of December 31, 2026, if no such announcement has been made.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.