TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$74,125,922
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,074,751,399
57,323
Markets across
1,220
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
What are world prediction markets pricing in?
World prediction market odds aggregated from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Track international conflicts, diplomacy, leadership changes, and major global events. Read more...
Trending
View moreLive · Breaking
View moreWill Trump say "Gulf of America" before Sep 1, 2026?
+77 ptslast hour
Insights
View allWar Index
Indices30.1/ 100
watchful
24H ↑ 0.17D ↑ 0.6
A rise isn't inherently "good".
#
Event
% Chance
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Ends in
Trade
| # | Event | % Chance | Price | Liquidity | Volume | 24h | 7d | Ends in | Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NATO x Russia military clash by...? | 6 markets | $134,988 | $6,107,535 | +1% | +42% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 2 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | 23 markets | $247,252 | $26,378,304 | +0.12% | +2% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 3 | Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? | 8 markets | $185,654 | $905,006 | +2% | +6% | Trade | |||
| 4 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | 8% | Yes 8¢ / No 93¢ | $91,519 | $1,309,874 | +1% | +2% | Trade | ||
| 5 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | 7% | Yes 7.5¢ / No 92.7¢ | $71,109 | $3,261,000 | +0.19% | +0.94% | Trade | ||
| 6 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? | 7 markets | $196,914 | $8,409,649 | +0.03% | +0.25% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 7 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? | 3 markets | $27,155 | $2,147,027 | +0.1% | +0.23% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 8 | Houthis successfully target shipping on...? | 39 markets | $16,287 | $261,007 | +0.6% | +11% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 9 | Iran invades Kuwait by...? | 4 markets | $95,984 | $1,046,930 | +0.14% | +1% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 10 | Will Russia capture Sumy by...? | 3 markets | $13,488 | $830,300 | 0% | +0.58% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 11 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | 14% | Yes 15¢ / No 86¢ | $41,782 | $351,758 | +0.34% | +9% | Trade | ||
| 12 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...? | 3 markets | $24,264 | $375,757 | +0.09% | +2% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 13 | How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | 16 markets | $125,369 | $1,640,177 | +0.01% | +0.11% | Trade | |||
| 14 | US x Russia military clash by...? | 4 markets | $23,554 | $1,802,044 | 0% | +0.01% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 15 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? | 7 markets | $11,340 | $4,063,054 | 0% | +0.01% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 16 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | 5% | Yes 5.6¢ / No 95¢ | $37,803 | $345,099 | 0% | +0.22% | Trade | ||
| Events per page: 50 · 1–16 of 16 | ||||||||||