TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$108,040,032

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,638,571,346

66,513

Markets across

1,349

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

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45%

VS.

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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
polymarket

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Apr 16, 2026, 7:52 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$8,608,729
Volume 24h:
$634,261N/A
Liquidity:
$104,579
40%
Open interest:
$54,791N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?

33%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 34¢ buys you 294 shares | Odds: 33% Total Payout: $294 | Net Profit: $194 Multiplier: 2.94x | ROI: 194% | APY: 149% 431 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
33%
Yes 34¢No 68¢
2¢
$27,840
$64,760
3,219%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

June 30, 2027

Trade
21%
1%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
$13,841
$8,059
0%
N/A
N/A
8mo 1w
active
polymarket

March 31, 2027

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
$11,870
$2,969
11%
N/A
N/A
5mo 6d
active
polymarket

December 31

Trade
3%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.7¢
0.2¢
$51,028
$276,075
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

June 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,523,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,153,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

May 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,540,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

August 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$669,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

September 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$295,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

April 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.