TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
World
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
polymarket

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

May 11, 2026, 4:06 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$905,006
Volume 24h:
$17,785
469%
Liquidity:
$184,488
4%
Open interest:
$209,694N/A

Dopropillia

 - Polymarket

Dopropillia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 86¢ buys you 116 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $116 | Net Profit: $16 Multiplier: 1.16x | ROI: 16% | APY: 55% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dopropillia

Trade
85%
Yes 86¢No 16¢
$90,263
$212,946
2%
4%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Druzkhivka

53%
Yes 53¢No 48¢
$30,400
$174,834
5%
14%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Kramatorsk

28%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
$17,692
$56,134
4%
23%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Sloviansk

26%
1%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
$9,544
$66,656
2%
12%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Zaporizhia

8%
2%
Yes No 92.9¢
0.9¢
$7,681
$214,448
0.47%
0.65%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Sumy

8%
Yes No 93¢
$20,488
$63,761
0.3%
5%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Kherson

8%
Yes No 93¢
$4,008
$4,362
0.72%
4%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Kharkiv

4%
Yes 4.2¢No 95.9¢
0.1¢
$4,412
$111,866
0%
0.3%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.