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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Oct 10, 2025, 11:27 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$4,068,202
Volume 24h:
$1
91%
Liquidity:
$12,747
10%
Open interest:
$6,557N/A

December 31

 - Polymarket

December 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

7%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 9¢ buys you 1,111 shares | Odds: 7% Total Payout: $1,111 | Net Profit: $1,011 Multiplier: 11.11x | ROI: 1,011% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
$12,747
$10,910
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

October 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,502,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

December 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$708,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

November 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$347,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

November 7

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 31

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.