TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
polymarket

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Jan 16, 2026, 12:48 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$331,113
Volume 24h:
$4,207
677%
Liquidity:
$30,313
104%
Open interest:
$14,369N/A

140-159

 - Polymarket

140-159 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

69%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 72.2¢ buys you 139 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $139 | Net Profit: $39 Multiplier: 1.39x | ROI: 39% | APY: 157% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

140-159

Trade
69%
13%
Yes 72.2¢No 35.2¢
7.4¢
$1,375
$50,056
1%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

160-179

Trade
26%
22%
Yes 26¢No 86.3¢
12.3¢
$2,469
$99,709
2%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

120-139

Trade
4%
7%
Yes 5.2¢No 97.4¢
2.6¢
$4,636
$5,001
12%
14%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

200 or more

Trade
3%
Yes 3.1¢No 97¢
0.1¢
$4,681
$106,441
0.21%
0.28%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

180-199

Trade
3%
Yes 4.5¢No 99.1¢
3.6¢
$5,076
$61,058
0.99%
0.99%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

<100

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$4,102
$5,354
4%
4%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

100-119

Trade
0%
2%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$7,975
$3,493
6%
6%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.