TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$75,165,326

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,095,709,366

58,436

Markets across

1,256

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
polymarket
predict

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Sep 22, 2025, 7:39 PM EST - Oct 30, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$31,480,084
Volume 24h:
$142,431
19%
Liquidity:
$15,781,319
0.54%
Open interest:
$2,438,086N/A

Harry Kane

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

64%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 64.1¢ buys you 156 shares | Odds: 64% Total Payout: $156 | Net Profit: $56 Multiplier: 1.56x | ROI: 56% High Projected APY: 1,163% 63 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Harry Kane

Trade
64%
Yes 64.1¢No 36¢
0.1¢
$168,233
$3,804,258
0.91%
5%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
predict

Harry Kane

Trade
59%
Yes 58.9¢No 41.2¢
0.1¢
$123,554
$96,106
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
61.5%
Yes 61.5¢No 38.6¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Erling Haaland

Trade
20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
$5,371
$119
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Erling Haaland

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$278,633
$1,432,225
0.16%
9%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
10%
Yes 10.2¢No 89.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Cristiano Ronaldo

Trade
20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
$8,645
$27
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Cristiano Ronaldo

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$685,288
$473,380
0%
4%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
10%
Yes 10.1¢No 90¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Lamine Yamal

Trade
18%
Yes 17.7¢No 82.4¢
0.1¢
$32,756
$56,196
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Lamine Yamal

Trade
16%
Yes 15.7¢No 84.4¢
0.1¢
$156,654
$1,989,907
0.38%
5%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
17%
Yes 16.7¢No 83.4¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Jude Bellingham

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 88¢
—
$5,388
$17
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Jude Bellingham

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$419,598
$1,139,318
0.23%
3%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 6.1¢No 94¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 88¢
—
$5,655
$4
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
0.1¢
$138,965
$1,260,976
2%
8%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7%
Yes 7.2¢No 92.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Vitinha

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
$5,457
$58
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Vitinha

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$746,147
$750,973
0.35%
3%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Achraf Hakimi

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
$5,434
$34
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Achraf Hakimi

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$716,955
$740,083
0%
0.01%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Raphinha

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
$5,438
$1
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Raphinha

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$712,994
$695,112
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Rodri

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 92.1¢
0.1¢
$109,499
$58,609
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
predict

Kylian Mbappé

Trade
8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.2¢
0.1¢
$86,519
$53,213
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Kylian Mbappé

Trade
7%
Yes 7.5¢No 92.6¢
0.1¢
$165,315
$1,748,663
1%
7%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7.5%
Yes 7.7¢No 92.4¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Desire Doue

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
—
$5,441
$26
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
polymarket

Desire Doue

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$731,455
$743,483
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

P

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$119,677
$1,288,941
0.45%
13%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
predict

Lionel Messi

Trade
5%
Yes 10¢No 99.6¢
9.6¢
$5,659
$554
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3d
active
Total markets: 25 of 57

Description

This event group tracks predictions for the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner across multiple betting platforms. The Ballon d'Or is an annual football award presented by France Football to the best male player of the year as judged by a worldwide panel of journalists.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use France Football's official announcement as the sole resolution source with identical timing and tie-breaking rulesPrimary resolution logic: France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner must be officially announced by France Football before December 31, 2026
  • If no announcement is made by the deadline, all markets resolve to "Other"
  • Only the exact name as published by France Football matches the market outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Shared Awards: If France Football declares multiple joint winners, all matching markets resolve as winners
  • Late Announcements: Announcements after December 31, 2026 will be treated as no award and resolve to "Other"
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after France Football publishes the official winner, or December 31, 2026 if no winner is declaredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Predict

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).