TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
kalshi

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Sep 17, 2026, 9:50 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$365,808
Volume 24h:
$144,816
69,399%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$113,391
85%

Before Dec 31, 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Dec 31, 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Dec 31, 2026?

57%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 57% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% High Projected APY: 2,037% 67 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Dec 31, 2026

Trade
57%
4%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
N/A
$1,288
3%
N/A
$455
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Nov 13, 2026

Trade
24%
1%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
3¢
N/A
$91,570
0.38%
N/A
$14,564
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Nov 6, 2026

Trade
15%
1%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
N/A
$64,709
0.51%
N/A
$12,676
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Oct 30, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$64,408
0.41%
N/A
$20,037
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Oct 23, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,160
N/A
N/A
$12,958
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Oct 16, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,938
N/A
N/A
$16,734
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Oct 9, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,936
N/A
N/A
$23,285
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Oct 2, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,293
N/A
N/A
$8,167
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Sep 25, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,505
N/A
N/A
$4,515
2mo 1w
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks predictions about when OpenAI might publicly launch their Astra 6.1 model. The outcome depends on whether the release occurs within any of several specified timeframes, all requiring a public availability beyond closed beta testing.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if OpenAI publicly releases Astra 6.1 at any point before any of the listed dates ranging from September 25, 2026 to December 31, 2026. A release is considered valid if it is made available to the general public, even if access is restricted to a high-cost subscription tier, and excludes any versions only accessible through closed beta programs. The earliest possible resolution date is September 25, 2026, with subsequent dates extending through the end of 2026, allowing for multiple potential trigger points. The market will close and resolve immediately upon any qualifying public release.