TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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NASA lands on the moon?
kalshi

NASA lands on the moon?

Jan 23, 2024, 10:00 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$561,086
Volume 24h:
$832
67%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$170,116
0.06%

Before 2030

 - Kalshi

Before 2030 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 2030

Trade
38%
4%
Yes 42¢No 63¢
5¢
N/A
$7,490
2%
N/A
$3,305
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Before 2029

Trade
27%
3%
Yes 27¢No 78¢
5¢
N/A
$36,666
0.17%
N/A
$18,439
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Before 2028

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 3.3¢No 97.6¢
0.9¢
N/A
$227,807
0.28%
N/A
$66,275
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
0%
Yes 1¢No 99.6¢
0.6¢
N/A
$289,122
0%
N/A
$82,097
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 4

Description

This market series tracks whether NASA will successfully land a manned mission on the Moon during successive years from 2026 through 2029. Each market represents a different deadline for achieving this major space exploration milestone.

Kalshi

The event comprises four separate markets with expiration dates of December 31 in 2026, 2027, 2028, and 2029, each resolving Yes if an official announcement confirms that a manned NASA mission has landed on the Moon after market issuance and by the specified deadline. The announcement itself serves as the resolution trigger, indicating successful completion of the lunar landing objective.