TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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NASA lands on the moon?
kalshi

NASA lands on the moon?

Jan 23, 2024, 10:00 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$513,641
Volume 24h:
$7N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$170,281
0%

Before 2030

 - Kalshi

Before 2030 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% High Projected APY: 780% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 2030

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 57¢
2¢
N/A
$6,087
0%
0%
$2,968
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before 2029

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 21¢No 84¢
5¢
N/A
$29,031
0.02%
2%
$14,647
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before 2028

Trade
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.9¢
0.3¢
N/A
$199,280
0%
0.28%
$63,398
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.4¢
0.4¢
N/A
$279,243
0%
0%
$89,269
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 4

Description

This market series tracks whether NASA will successfully land a manned mission on the Moon during successive years from 2026 through 2029. Each market represents a different deadline for achieving this major space exploration milestone.

Kalshi

The event comprises four separate markets with expiration dates of December 31 in 2026, 2027, 2028, and 2029, each resolving Yes if an official announcement confirms that a manned NASA mission has landed on the Moon after market issuance and by the specified deadline. The announcement itself serves as the resolution trigger, indicating successful completion of the lunar landing objective.