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Tesla Optimus released this year?
kalshi

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Feb 9, 2024, 9:30 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$354,373
Volume 24h:
$1,695
345%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$125,366
0.17%

Before 2027

 - Kalshi

Before 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

8%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 8¢ buys you 1,250 shares | Odds: 8% Total Payout: $1,250 | Net Profit: $1,150 Multiplier: 12.50x | ROI: 1,150% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
N/A
$354,373
0.48%
2%
$125,366
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether a humanoid robot, specifically Tesla's Optimus or a comparable alternative, becomes commercially available to the general public by the end of 2026. It focuses on the real-world achievement of humanoid robots reaching mainstream consumer markets rather than remaining in development or limited testing phases.

Kalshi

If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.