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Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
kalshi

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Jan 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,019,663
Volume 24h:
$707
65%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$690,684
0.07%

Anthropic

 - Kalshi

Anthropic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026?

60%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 60¢ buys you 167 shares | Odds: 60% Total Payout: $167 | Net Profit: $67 Multiplier: 1.67x | ROI: 67% | APY: 339% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Anthropic

Trade
60%
3%
Yes 60¢No 44¢
4¢
N/A
$244,339
0.26%
1%
$128,901
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

OpenAI

Trade
24%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$169,778
0%
2%
$78,421
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

xAI

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$160,221
0.05%
2%
$113,814
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Z.ai

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$67,681
0%
7%
$67,018
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Google

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$163,528
0%
0.39%
$110,538
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Moonshot AI

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$78,559
0%
2%
$65,194
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

DeepSeek

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$68,227
0%
0.69%
$59,479
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Alibaba

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51,123
0%
0%
$51,112
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Baidu

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$16,208
0%
0%
$16,208
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This market identifies which AI company will have the most advanced coding model as of December 31, 2026. Performance is evaluated using LiveBench.ai's standardized coding benchmark rankings.

Kalshi

If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baidu has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Z.ai has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Moonshot AI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.