TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Other
Financials
Economics
Entertainment
Science and Technology
World
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
polymarket

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Dec 31, 2025, 12:12 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,390,535
Volume 24h:
$244
36%
Liquidity:
$75,561
30%
Open interest:
$47,669N/A

14–16

 - Polymarket

14–16 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% High Projected APY: 791% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

14–16

Trade
45%
4%
Yes 47¢No 58¢
5¢
$1,675
$188,534
0%
0.29%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

17–19

Trade
35%
2%
Yes 37¢No 68¢
5¢
$1,634
$212,878
0%
0.13%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

11–13

Trade
12%
Yes 14¢No 90¢
4¢
$2,996
$416,985
0.02%
0.2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

20+

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 9.4¢No 94.9¢
4.3¢
$2,085
$68,377
0.19%
0.94%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

8–10

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$67,171
$159,729
0%
0.02%
N/A
4mo 5d
disputed
polymarket

<5

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
No
polymarket

5–7

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.