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$41.6b

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$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
polymarket

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Dec 31, 2025, 12:12 PM EST - Jan 7, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,479,998
Volume 24h:
$422
834%
Liquidity:
$2,642
94%
Open interest:
$34,942N/A

14–16

 - Polymarket

14–16 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 7, 2027

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 76¢ buys you 132 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $132 | Net Profit: $32 Multiplier: 1.32x | ROI: 32% | APY: 294% Low liquidity 72 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

14–16

Trade
48%
Yes 76¢No 41¢
17¢
$398
$189,896
0.02%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

17–19

Trade
29%
Yes 42¢No 78¢
20¢
$418
$293,811
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

20+

Trade
3%
Yes 11¢No 99.2¢
10.2¢
$835
$70,149
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

11–13

Trade
1%
15%
Yes 20.6¢No 99.2¢
19.8¢
$990
$422,379
0.08%
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w 5d
active
polymarket

<5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
polymarket

8–10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
polymarket

5–7

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.