TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
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Science and Technology
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Jun 1, 2026, 6:56 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,664,807
Volume 24h:
$307,453
404%
Liquidity:
$3,107
94%
Open interest:
$58,913N/A

December 31

 - Polymarket

December 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?

27%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 27¢ buys you 370 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $370 | Net Profit: $270 Multiplier: 3.70x | ROI: 270% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31

Trade
27%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
$268
$8,968
4%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

November 30

9%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
$1,532
$10,273
0.49%
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

October 31

3%
Yes 3.8¢No 98.8¢
2.6¢
$1,307
$182,706
0.01%
N/A
N/A
4d 18h
active
polymarket

August 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$347,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

August 14

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$245,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

September 30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

August 7

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$148,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

August 21

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

October 15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

October 15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 26

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 17

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 24

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

October 23

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 12

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 19

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

September 15

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 28

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.