TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Science and Technology
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Jun 1, 2026, 6:56 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,153,357
Volume 24h:
$31,970
32%
Liquidity:
$35,935
26%
Open interest:
$101,768N/A

October 31

 - Polymarket

October 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

57%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 58¢ buys you 172 shares | Odds: 57% Total Payout: $172 | Net Profit: $72 Multiplier: 1.72x | ROI: 72% High Projected APY: 1,934% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

October 31

Trade
57%
Yes 58¢No 43¢
$7,251
$3,247
96%
64,846%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

September 30

28%
Yes 29¢No 73¢
$4,478
$15,593
19%
53,438%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

September 15

11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
$2,160
$2,674
37%
0%
N/A
2w 5d 18h
active
polymarket

August 31

6%
1%
Yes 6.6¢No 94.9¢
1.5¢
$22,045
$322,951
3%
8%
N/A
4d 18h 56m
active
polymarket

August 14

0%
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 100¢
N/A
$245,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 7

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$148,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 21

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$127,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 31

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$92,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 30

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$57,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 26

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$19,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 30

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$18,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 17

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$18,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 24

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$18,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 10

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$18,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 12

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$16,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 19

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$13,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 3

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$3,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 29

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$3,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 28

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$2,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$2,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 27

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$1,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.