TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Kalshi
Before Jan 1, 2027 - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
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Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Latest in Science and Technology
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
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Description
This event tracks whether OpenAI will deploy a sophisticated personal AI agent capable of autonomously managing multi-step tasks across various applications. The agent must remember user-specific details and initiate actions independently to advance user goals, representing a significant leap in personalized digital assistance.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if OpenAI releases a fully operational personal AI agent meeting specific criteria before the stated deadline. The agent must act autonomously for individual users, retaining personal information across interactions and initiating multi-step tasks across third-party apps without user initiation. Implementation must be officially released, not labeled as beta or experimental, and accessible to external users in the United States. Actions must include tangible changes in third-party services such as sending messages or making purchases, not merely reading or summarizing. Excluded are agents limited to single tasks, those requiring continuous user direction, scheduled operations, or organizational workflows. The earliest qualifying deployment date determines resolution, accounting for phased rollouts or restricted access versions.
