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Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
kalshi

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Jan 1, 2026, 12:01 AM EST - Jan 2, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$329,645
Volume 24h:
$998
80%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$130,290
0.15%

OpenAI

 - Kalshi

OpenAI - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 2, 2027

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

32%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 32¢ buys you 313 shares | Odds: 32% Total Payout: $313 | Net Profit: $213 Multiplier: 3.13x | ROI: 213% High Projected APY: 2,477% 128 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

OpenAI

Trade
32%
Yes 32¢No 75¢
7¢
N/A
$110,876
0.65%
2%
$37,347
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

xAI

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 88¢
5¢
N/A
$86,458
0.06%
3%
$31,650
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Meta

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
3¢
N/A
$34,224
0.49%
2%
$14,947
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Alibaba

Trade
13%
3%
Yes 13¢No 94¢
7¢
N/A
$14,431
0.25%
0.25%
$6,126
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Z.ai

Trade
13%
Yes 14¢No 92¢
6¢
N/A
$4,068
0%
16%
$1,794
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Moonshot AI

Trade
12%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
2¢
N/A
$5,297
0.55%
5%
$3,498
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Nvidia

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$34,398
0.01%
4%
$16,629
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

ByteDance

Trade
8%
Yes 12¢No 96¢
8¢
N/A
$3,731
0%
0%
$1,922
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Baidu

Trade
7%
Yes 10¢No 96¢
6¢
N/A
$11,583
0%
0%
$5,143
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

01A1

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$691
0%
22%
$415
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Deepseek

Trade
6%
Yes 12¢No 94¢
6¢
N/A
$20,961
0%
0.07%
$9,830
4mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Mistral

Trade
2%
Yes 6¢No 98¢
4¢
N/A
$2,927
0%
3%
$989
4mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 12

Description

This market tracks which major AI companies will achieve top-ranked model status during 2026. A company resolves to Yes if it develops or releases an AI model that ranks first according to established benchmarks before the year ends.

Kalshi

A company achieves a Yes resolution if it has a #1 ranked AI model before January 1, 2027. The event encompasses thirteen companies spanning both established tech giants and specialized AI firms, including Meta, Nvidia, xAI, Mistral, Deepseek, Alibaba, 01.AI, Zhipu AI, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Moonshot AI, and ByteDance. Resolution depends on achieving top ranking status by the specified deadline, with each company evaluated independently.