TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Best AI in Oct 2026?
kalshi

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Sep 29, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$685,495
Volume 24h:
$22,171
58%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$379,461
1%

Gemini

 - Kalshi

Gemini - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:02m

Best AI in Oct 2026?

88%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 88¢ buys you 114 shares | Odds: 88% Total Payout: $114 | Net Profit: $14 Multiplier: 1.14x | ROI: 14% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gemini

Trade
88%
Yes 88¢No 13¢
1¢
N/A
$160,182
2%
N/A
$90,876
4d 4h 2m
active
kalshi

Claude

Trade
11%
1%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
N/A
$153,762
5%
N/A
$59,661
4d 4h 2m
active
kalshi

Muse

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$161,581
0.2%
N/A
$108,087
4d 4h 2m
active
kalshi

ChatGPT

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$155,297
7%
N/A
$90,474
4d 4h 2m
active
kalshi

Qwen

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$29,795
2%
N/A
$13,231
4d 4h 2m
active
kalshi

Kimi

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13,584
0.69%
N/A
$9,613
4d 4h 2m
active
kalshi

Grok

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11,295
0%
N/A
$7,520
4d 4h 2m
active
Total markets: 7

Description

The market assesses which AI company will lead in large language model rankings by the end of October 2026. Major tech firms are investing heavily in AI development, aiming to create the most advanced and capable systems. The outcome depends on a combination of technical performance metrics, user feedback, and release timing.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified company's LLM is ranked highest on October 31, 2026. Tiebreakers proceed through Arena Score, vote count, and release date in sequential order if multiple models share the same rank.