TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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When will Anthropic release Mythos?
kalshi

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Apr 15, 2026, 10:00 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,111,469
Volume 24h:
$385,854
37%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$593,930
0.01%

Before Jan 1, 2027

 - Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

11%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 13¢ buys you 769 shares | Odds: 11% Total Payout: $769 | Net Profit: $669 Multiplier: 7.69x | ROI: 669% APY not meaningful 67 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Trade
11%
2%
Yes 13¢No 89¢
2¢
N/A
$296,132
0.01%
N/A
$68,828
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Dec 1, 2026

Trade
3%
5%
Yes 7¢No 98¢
5¢
N/A
$211,076
0.07%
N/A
$56,594
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$226,383
0%
N/A
$75,820
2mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Jun 15, 2026

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$404,660
N/A
N/A
$156,725
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Jul 1, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397,462
N/A
N/A
$97,032
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Aug 1, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,939
N/A
N/A
$52,108
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173,530
N/A
N/A
$57,790
2mo 1w
No
kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,288
N/A
N/A
$29,031
2mo 1w
No
Total markets: 8

Description

Anthropic, an AI research company, may release a model called Mythos to the public. The release must be available outside of closed beta testing, though it can be limited to a premium subscription tier.

Kalshi

These markets track whether Anthropic releases a model named Mythos to the public on various dates throughout 2026 and into early 2027. Public release means the model must be available outside of closed beta, though limiting access to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Each market corresponds to a specific deadline, with the earliest being June 15, 2026, and the latest being January 1, 2027. A Yes resolution requires that Anthropic has made Mythos publicly available by the specified date.