TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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US real GDP growth in 2026?
kalshi

US real GDP growth in 2026?

Jan 14, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Feb 28, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$429,584
Volume 24h:
$108,685
354%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$287,102
0.04%

2.1% to 2.5%

 - Kalshi

2.1% to 2.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 28, 2027

GDP growth in 2026?

68%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 69.9¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 68% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% | APY: 187% 124 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2.1% to 2.5%

Trade
68%
Yes 69.9¢No 40.7¢
10.6¢
N/A
$39,350
0.11%
N/A
$19,576
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

1.6% to 2.0%

Trade
21%
Yes 20.7¢No 84¢
4.7¢
N/A
$41,214
0.12%
N/A
$20,560
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

2.6% to 3.0%

Trade
12%
2%
Yes 14.6¢No 91.9¢
6.5¢
N/A
$29,560
0.5%
N/A
$14,472
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

3.1% to 3.5%

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 99.9¢
4.9¢
N/A
$47,707
0%
N/A
$31,598
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

1.1% to 1.5%

Trade
3%
Yes 4.6¢No 96.9¢
1.5¢
N/A
$22,892
0%
N/A
$13,347
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

0.0% or Below

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$48,938
0%
N/A
$37,278
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

4.1% to 4.5%

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$43,924
0%
N/A
$31,436
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

0.1% to 0.5%

Trade
1%
Yes 2.6¢No 100¢
2.6¢
N/A
$29,734
0%
N/A
$21,272
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

0.6% to 1.0%

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
0.5¢
N/A
$26,055
0%
N/A
$17,557
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

4.6% to 5.0%

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 100¢
0.4¢
N/A
$33,300
0%
N/A
$22,296
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

6.1% or Above

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 100¢
0.4¢
N/A
$16,518
0%
N/A
$16,383
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

3.6% to 4.0%

Trade
0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$35,689
0%
N/A
$26,684
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

5.1% to 5.5%

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 100¢
0.4¢
N/A
$9,532
0%
N/A
$9,482
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

5.6% to 6.0%

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,171
0%
N/A
$5,162
4mo 4d
active
Total markets: 14

Description

This market tracks the annual real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026. Real GDP measures the total economic output adjusted for inflation and is a key indicator of economic health.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis's advance estimate of real GDP growth for calendar year 2026, expected with the Q4 2026 GDP release in early 2027. The market uses the first-published annual percent change figure; subsequent revisions are not considered. All stated percentage ranges are inclusive, meaning both endpoints are included in each outcome band.