TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Above 0.0%
- Kalshi
Above 0.0% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Latest in Economics
Time left: 14d:04h:52m
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October?
$
Description
This event tracks changes in the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2026, focusing on inflation trends excluding volatile food and energy prices. The core CPI provides insight into underlying consumer price movements, helping economists and policymakers assess economic health and inflation pressures. Outcomes depend on whether the index rises above specific thresholds, offering a granular view of inflation dynamics.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on whether the seasonally adjusted Core CPI for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for October 2026, increases by more than a specified percentage threshold. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 0.0% to above 1.0%. If the reported value exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share a common underlying data source—the single-decimal Core CPI value reported by the BLS. In the event of a federal government shutdown that delays data publication, each market's expiration date is extended until either the data is released or six months after the shutdown ends, whichever comes first. This ensures fair resolution even under unusual administrative circumstances.
