TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Above $6.60
- Kalshi
Above $6.60 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Latest in Economics
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?
$
Description
This event tracks the potential rise in California's regular gas prices throughout 2026. It examines whether economic pressures, supply chain dynamics, or policy changes could push the state's average gas cost beyond various thresholds by the end of the year.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple sequential price thresholds for California regular gas prices as of December 31, 2026, using AAA's reported average prices as the definitive data source. Each threshold represents a distinct price level, with the market resolving positively (Yes) only if the recorded average exceeds the specific threshold value. Thresholds progress incrementally from $6.20 to $8.00 in $0.20 increments, creating a tiered structure where higher thresholds inherently require greater price increases. The resolution depends entirely on the final recorded average price for the specified date, with no partial credit or interpolation between thresholds. All thresholds share the same verification methodology and deadline, ensuring consistent evaluation across all price levels.
