TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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US gas prices on Election Day
kalshi

US gas prices on Election Day

Mar 24, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$299,140
Volume 24h:
$62,960N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$158,923
1%

Above 3.50

 - Kalshi

Above 3.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 07d:04h:51m

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 69% Illiquid market 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$13,923
0%
N/A
$6,584
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 3.00

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,243
0%
N/A
$6,820
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 2.75

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,362
0%
N/A
$3,295
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 2.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,323
0%
N/A
$1,076
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 3.75

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$66,930
0.07%
N/A
$37,669
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.00

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$68,559
13%
N/A
$33,239
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 3.25

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$20,254
0%
N/A
$14,052
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.25

Trade
41%
14%
Yes 37¢No 68¢
5¢
N/A
$46,546
1%
N/A
$23,333
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.50

Trade
4%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$36,151
0.05%
N/A
$16,040
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$19,326
0%
N/A
$10,933
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.75

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$12,524
0.23%
N/A
$5,884
1w 4h
active
Total markets: 11

Description

The average price for regular gasoline across the United States on a specific election day could reflect broader economic trends, consumer demand, and energy market dynamics. Political events and seasonal factors often influence these prices, making them a key indicator watched by many.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the average regular gas price in the United States, as reported by AAA on November 3, 2026, strictly exceeds the specified threshold. The thresholds range from $2.50 to $5.00 in incremental steps. If the price meets or exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market will resolve positively. All markets share the same resolution date and data source.