TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
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Economics
Fed rate cut before 2027?
kalshi

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Feb 26, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,608,167
Volume 24h:
$2,188
29%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$477,737
0.33%

Cuts

 - Kalshi

Cuts - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 6¢ buys you 1,667 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,667 | Net Profit: $1,567 Multiplier: 16.67x | ROI: 1,567% APY not meaningful 66 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cuts

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 6¢No 96.4¢
2.4¢
N/A
$1,608,167
0.14%
N/A
$477,737
2mo 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether the Federal Reserve will lower its benchmark interest rate at least once during 2026. Rate cuts typically signal efforts to stimulate economic growth or respond to economic weakness.

Kalshi

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.