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Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
kalshi

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Jan 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$685,950
Volume 24h:
$815
37%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$225,006
0.02%

In 2026

 - Kalshi

In 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 2.9¢ buys you 3,448 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $3,448 | Net Profit: $3,348 Multiplier: 34.48x | ROI: 3,348% APY not meaningful 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

In 2026

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 99¢
1.9¢
N/A
$685,950
0.12%
N/A
$225,006
2mo 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event asks whether the Federal Reserve will implement a single rate cut exceeding 25 basis points at any point during 2026. This would represent a more aggressive monetary policy action than a standard quarter-point reduction.

Kalshi

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.