TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Fed maintains rate
- Kalshi
Fed maintains rate - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 27, 2027
Latest in Economics
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?
$
Description
This event tracks the direction of the U.S. Federal Reserve's key interest rate decision at its scheduled meeting in January 2027. Participants assess whether the central bank will lower rates, keep them unchanged, or increase them by varying amounts. The outcome depends solely on the official announcement following the meeting.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the Federal Reserve's official interest rate decision announced at its January 27, 2027 meeting. If the Fed reduces the target rate by more than 25 basis points, the 'Cut >25bps' market resolves to Yes. If the Fed reduces the rate by exactly 25 basis points, the 'Cut 25bps' market resolves to Yes. If the Fed keeps the rate unchanged (a 0 basis point change), the 'Fed maintains rate' market resolves to Yes. If the Fed increases the rate by 25 basis points, the 'Hike 25bps' market resolves to Yes. If the Fed increases the rate by more than 25 basis points, the 'Hike >25bps' market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive — only one can resolve to Yes. If the scheduled meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, the 'Fed maintains rate' market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No.
