TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
How high will inflation get this year?
kalshi

How high will inflation get this year?

Jan 15, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Feb 14, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$881,156
Volume 24h:
$716
74%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$331,155
0.1%

At least 4.5%

 - Kalshi

At least 4.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 14, 2027

Inflation surge in 2026?

21%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 21.1¢ buys you 474 shares | Odds: 21% Total Payout: $474 | Net Profit: $374 Multiplier: 4.74x | ROI: 374% APY not meaningful 110 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 4.5%

Trade
21%
Yes 21.1¢No 79¢
0.1¢
N/A
$367,226
0.01%
N/A
$158,222
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

At least 5.0%

11%
1%
Yes 11.1¢No 91.2¢
2.3¢
N/A
$118,446
0.57%
N/A
$40,962
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

At least 7.0%

3%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,987
0%
N/A
$1,091
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

At least 5.5%

2%
Yes 2.4¢No 98.1¢
0.5¢
N/A
$51,084
0%
N/A
$19,349
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

At least 6.5%

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$7,268
0%
N/A
$3,666
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

At least 6.0%

2%
Yes 2.6¢No 98.2¢
0.8¢
N/A
$23,511
0%
N/A
$8,643
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

At least 4.0%

100%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215,778
N/A
N/A
$58,667
3mo 2w 6d
Yes
kalshi

At least 3.5%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95,855
N/A
N/A
$40,556
3mo 2w 6d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market tracks the highest year-over-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate that occurs during any month in 2026. CPI inflation measures the rate at which prices for goods and services increase over time.

Kalshi

Each market outcome corresponds to a specific inflation threshold. The market resolves to Yes if year-over-year CPI inflation reaches or exceeds that threshold in any month during 2026. Resolution is based on official CPI data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.