TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
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All
Economics
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
kalshi

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 1:45 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,911,179
Volume 24h:
$6,666
2%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$935,081
0%

Above $4.60

 - Kalshi

Above $4.60 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?

39%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 39¢ buys you 256 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $256 | Net Profit: $156 Multiplier: 2.56x | ROI: 156% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4.60

Trade
39%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
N/A
$318,112
1%
N/A
$181,649
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $4.80

35%
5%
Yes 36¢No 65¢
1¢
N/A
$232,818
0.08%
N/A
$119,784
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $5.00

25%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
2¢
N/A
$224,651
0.29%
N/A
$104,790
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $5.20

20%
2%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
1¢
N/A
$143,686
0.5%
N/A
$76,577
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $5.40

13%
1%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
2¢
N/A
$117,075
0.26%
N/A
$63,311
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $5.60

11%
3%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$124,718
0.1%
N/A
$50,888
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $5.80

10%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$109,196
0%
N/A
$44,186
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $6.00

9%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
N/A
$148,975
0%
N/A
$61,811
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $6.20

7%
1%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
2¢
N/A
$82,014
0.02%
N/A
$35,936
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $6.40

7%
2%
Yes 9¢No 94¢
3¢
N/A
$78,899
0.02%
N/A
$30,371
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $6.60

6%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
N/A
$62,815
0.26%
N/A
$23,257
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $7.00

4%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$197,574
0%
N/A
$110,949
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Above $6.80

3%
2%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$70,646
0.13%
N/A
$31,571
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks the peak national average price of regular gasoline in the United States during 2026, as reported by AAA. Each outcome represents a different price threshold that may be reached at any point during the year.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by AAA's reported maximum national average regular gas price for the United States between market issuance and December 31, 2026, inclusive. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the maximum price reported by AAA exceeds its specified threshold at any time during this period. The thresholds range from $4.60 to $7.00 in $0.20 increments. Only the highest threshold exceeded determines which outcome resolves affirmatively; outcomes are mutually exclusive based on the maximum price achieved.