TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Above 5.6 million barrels/day
- Kalshi
Above 5.6 million barrels/day - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Apr 7, 2027
Latest in Economics
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?
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Description
This event tracks Texas's crude oil extraction levels over an entire year, reflecting how effectively the state's oil fields can meet production benchmarks. It uses a standardized government dataset to ensure consistency and reliability in measuring output against set thresholds.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) annual-average field production of crude oil for Texas in calendar year 2026. The EIA reports production in thousand barrels per day, which will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. Regardless of market-specific thresholds (5.6, 5.7, 5.8, or 5.9 million barrels/day), resolution exclusively uses EIA data. The EIA explicitly notes that its Texas production estimates may differ from those published by the Railroad Commission of Texas; therefore, only EIA figures will determine market outcomes. A market resolves to Yes if the reported annual-average production exceeds its respective threshold, and No otherwise.
