TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
kalshi

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Jan 5, 2026, 10:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$519,924
Volume 24h:
$3,210
97%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$262,231
0.8%

0 cuts

 - Kalshi

0 cuts - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97.9¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 13% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

0 cuts

Trade
95%
1%
Yes 97.9¢No 4.5¢
2.4¢
N/A
$293,374
0.42%
N/A
$122,342
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

3 cuts

Trade
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99¢
0.7¢
N/A
$32,967
1%
N/A
$23,162
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

4 cuts

Trade
0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.6¢
0.3¢
N/A
$24,713
2%
N/A
$16,453
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

2 cuts

Trade
0%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.7¢
1.2¢
N/A
$44,130
1%
N/A
$27,250
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

1 cuts

Trade
0%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.9¢
2.6¢
N/A
$124,741
0.47%
N/A
$73,024
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 5

Description

This market tracks the number of emergency rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve during 2026. Emergency cuts are unscheduled interest rate reductions made outside of regular Federal Open Market Committee meetings to address financial crises or severe economic disruptions.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes based on the total number of emergency rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026. Each 25 basis points of cuts equals one cut for counting purposes (so a 25bp cut counts as 1, a 50bp cut counts as 2, a 75bp cut counts as 3, and so on). The outcomes range from 0 to 4 emergency cuts, with resolution determined by the actual number of emergency rate cuts announced by the Fed during 2026.