TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Above 2.2%
- Kalshi
Above 2.2% - Kalshi
1W
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Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 10, 2026
Latest in Economics
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in November 2026?
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Description
This event tracks potential changes in core consumer price inflation over a specific period. It examines whether inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, surpasses various thresholds by a set date. The outcome reflects broader economic trends and policy impacts on price stability.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for core Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth over the twelve months ending November 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the CPI for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy exceeds a specified percentage increase, ranging from above 2.0% to above 3.5%. All markets share a common secondary rule: if a federal government shutdown delays the release of data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the expiration date for each market is extended to the sooner of the data release or six months after the shutdown ends. This ensures fair resolution even under unusual administrative circumstances.
