TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Financials
Other
Economics
Entertainment
Science and Technology
World
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Aug 6, 2025, 10:30 AM EST - Oct 28, 2026, 2:05 PM EST
Total volume:
$487,813
Volume 24h:
$26,911
65%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$237,666
13%

Above 3.75%

 - Kalshi

Above 3.75% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 28, 2026

Time left: 01d:07h:55m

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: 3,819% Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.75%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$36,681
2%
N/A
$26,792
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 3.50%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$14,289
0%
N/A
$8,384
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 3.25%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6,385
0%
N/A
$2,711
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 3.00%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,609
0%
N/A
$1,820
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 2.75%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,274
0%
N/A
$2,028
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 4.00%

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$292,278
0.7%
N/A
$71,389
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 4.25%

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$99,731
30%
N/A
$96,648
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 4.50%

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$14,316
0%
N/A
$12,542
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 4.75%

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11,646
4%
N/A
$10,406
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 5.00%

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,067
0%
N/A
$3,920
1d 7h 55m
active
kalshi

Above 5.25%

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,537
0%
N/A
$1,025
1d 7h 55m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

The Federal Reserve's policy setting for its key interest rate will be scrutinized following their meeting in late October 2026. Participants track whether the rate will exceed various thresholds, reflecting expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy direction.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the upper bound of the Federal Reserve's target federal funds rate, published on its official website after the October 28, 2026 meeting, exceeds a specific threshold ranging from 2.75% to 5.25%. All markets expire at 2:05 PM ET on the first business day following the release of the Federal Reserve's policy statement for that meeting, or one week after the meeting's final day if the statement is not released by then.