TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$69,287,501

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,087,562,910

57,539

Markets across

1,212

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Presidential Election Winner 2028
polymarket
predict

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jul 11, 2025, 3:05 PM EST - Nov 6, 2028, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$694,435,086
Volume 24h:
$270,228
65%
Liquidity:
$66,987,068
0.74%
Open interest:
$59,692,598N/A

Tucker Carlson

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

44%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 87.9¢ buys you 114 shares | Odds: 44% Total Payout: $114 | Net Profit: $14 Multiplier: 1.14x | ROI: 14% | APY: 6% 801 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Tucker Carlson

Trade
44%
Yes 87.9¢No 99.3¢
87.2¢
$10,941
$15
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Tucker Carlson

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
0.1¢
$388,066
$14,125,100
0.03%
0.29%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
22.5%
Yes 44.6¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 43.7¢Max: 87.2¢
polymarket

JD Vance

Trade
24%
Yes 24.2¢No 75.9¢
0.1¢
$406,267
$15,777,118
0.1%
1%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

JD Vance

Trade
20%
Yes 20.3¢No 79.8¢
0.1¢
$125,121
$5,778
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
22%
Yes 22.3¢No 77.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Ron DeSantis

Trade
41%
Yes 80.8¢No 99.8¢
80.6¢
$11,502
$250
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Ron DeSantis

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢
0.1¢
$292,952
$12,462,130
0%
0.49%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
21%
Yes 41.1¢No 99.3¢
Avg: 40.4¢Max: 80.6¢
predict

Donald Trump

Trade
39%
Yes 77.7¢No 99.8¢
77.5¢
$10,110
$1,127
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Donald Trump

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
$536,754
$9,954,484
0.01%
0.38%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
disputed
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
20.5%
Yes 39.9¢No 99¢
Avg: 38.8¢Max: 77.5¢
polymarket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
14%
Yes 13.6¢No 86.5¢
0.1¢
$322,288
$13,464,716
0%
1%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
11%
Yes 10.9¢No 89.2¢
0.1¢
$186,998
$119,463
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
12.5%
Yes 12.3¢No 87.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Marco Rubio

Trade
13%
Yes 12.6¢No 87.5¢
0.1¢
$103,498
$1,617
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Marco Rubio

Trade
11%
Yes 10.7¢No 89.4¢
0.1¢
$363,924
$12,095,037
0.39%
0.54%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
12%
Yes 11.6¢No 88.5¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Gavin Newsom

Trade
10%
Yes 10.2¢No 89.9¢
0.1¢
$127,583
$17,603
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Gavin Newsom

Trade
9%
Yes 8.7¢No 91.4¢
0.1¢
$346,565
$17,965,735
0.03%
0.48%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9.5%
Yes 9.5¢No 90.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Jon Ossoff

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 90.1¢
0.1¢
$354,111
$5,560,033
0.08%
0.97%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Jon Ossoff

Trade
9%
Yes 9.3¢No 90.8¢
0.1¢
$193,305
$86,843
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9.5%
Yes 9.7¢No 90.5¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Hakeem Jeffries

Trade
5%
Yes 9¢No 99.8¢
8.8¢
$9,409
$5
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Kamala Harris

Trade
6%
Yes 5.5¢No 94.6¢
0.1¢
$226,085
$153,655
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Kamala Harris

Trade
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.8¢
0.1¢
$348,443
$8,811,902
0.12%
0.96%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4.5%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Josh Shapiro

Trade
4%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.5¢
0.7¢
$334,335
$95,512
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Josh Shapiro

Trade
3%
Yes 3.1¢No 97¢
0.1¢
$354,763
$7,327,466
0.01%
2%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.8¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.7¢
predict

Pete Buttigieg

Trade
3%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.7¢
0.2¢
$337,456
$184,661
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Pete Buttigieg

Trade
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢
0.1¢
$501,088
$8,074,503
0.06%
0.65%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2.5%
Yes 3¢No 97.2¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

Person AD

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 98.2¢
0.5¢
$175,615
$625,401
2%
60%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Trade
2%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢
0.1¢
$177,827
$8,294,524
0.01%
0.42%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 102

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election, covering a wide range of potential candidates from current politicians to celebrities and fictional placeholders.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria: winner must be confirmed by AP, Fox News, and NBC, or default to inaugurated president if sources disagree by January 20, 2029.Primary resolution logic: Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to the candidate confirmed by all three sources (AP, Fox News, NBC)
  • If no consensus by January 20, 2029, resolves to the person inaugurated as President
Timing: Resolution occurs once all three sources agree OR on January 20, 2029 (inauguration day)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Predict

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.