TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$69,287,501

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,087,562,910

57,539

Markets across

1,212

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Brazil Presidential Election
polymarket
predict

Brazil Presidential Election

Total volume:
$142,103,654
Volume 24h:
$2,906,125N/A
Liquidity:
$15,765,768
5%
Open interest:
$5,633,122N/A

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 26, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 62.9¢ buys you 159 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $159 | Net Profit: $59 Multiplier: 1.59x | ROI: 59% High Projected APY: 827% 58 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Trade
63%
Yes 62.9¢No 37.2¢
0.1¢
$183,536
$60,617
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Trade
57%
Yes 58¢No 43¢
1¢
$444,860
$9,310,395
2%
6%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
60%
Yes 60.5¢No 40.1¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Flávio Bolsonaro

Trade
36%
Yes 35.7¢No 64.4¢
0.1¢
$366,077
$9,116,343
1%
5%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
predict

Flávio Bolsonaro

Trade
27%
Yes 26.6¢No 73.5¢
0.1¢
$96,899
$42,629
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
31.5%
Yes 31.2¢No 69¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Renan Santos

Trade
7%
Yes 7.4¢No 92.7¢
0.1¢
$123,371
$75,187
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Renan Santos

Trade
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢
0.1¢
$375,695
$11,672,874
3%
13%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4.5%
Yes 4.9¢No 95.2¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Person N

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢
0.1¢
$182,078
$2,225,765
77%
0%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
predict

Tarcisio de Freitas

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$10,480
$31,331
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Tarcisio de Freitas

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$598,788
$14,057,286
0%
0.94%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Fernando Haddad

Trade
2%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢
—
$11,442
$59,249
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Fernando Haddad

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$363,489
$7,296,674
0.01%
0.29%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Jair Bolsonaro

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$336,070
$271,238
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Jair Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$472,472
$6,404,601
5%
7%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Ronaldo Caiado

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$7,893
$1,147,375
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Ronaldo Caiado

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$739,922
$6,863,816
3%
8%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 0.8¢
predict

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
—
$7,620
$17
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,699,368
$10,444,239
0%
0.02%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Michelle Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢
—
$10,575
$2,303,431
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Michelle Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$501,134
$10,333,899
0.41%
3%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Romeu Zema

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢
—
$8,003
$188,888
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4w
active
polymarket

Romeu Zema

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$906,600
$6,242,281
4%
9%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Person M

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$411,903
$3,037,191
9%
49%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
polymarket

Ratinho Júnior

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,871,022
$10,429,490
0%
0.02%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
predict

Ratinho Júnior

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$15,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Eduardo Leite

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,044,092
$7,984,786
0%
0.25%
N/A
1mo 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, scheduled for October 4, 2026. Markets cover multiple potential candidates and include a fallback 'Other' outcome if the election result is unknown by June 30, 2027.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use the same resolution criteria: official results from Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), with a June 30, 2027 deadline for resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official results from the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the candidate declared the election winner by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE)
  • If the election result is unknown by June 30, 2027, the market resolves to "Other"
  • Markets include any potential second round of voting

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Ambiguous Results: In case of ambiguity, resolution is based solely on official TSE results regardless of media reports
  • Second Round: Markets cover both rounds of voting if required by Brazilian election law
Timing: Resolution occurs after official declaration by TSE, no later than June 30, 2027Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Predict

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).