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56,734

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California Governor Election Winner
polymarket
predict

Who will win the California Governor election?

Oct 9, 2025, 7:29 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$41,357,649
Volume 24h:
$15,204
347%
Liquidity:
$9,823,907
3%
Open interest:
$829,943N/A

Xavier Becerra

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95.3¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 29% 67 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Xavier Becerra

Trade
95%
Yes 95.3¢No 4.8¢
0.1¢
$82,417
$1,854,283
0.45%
0.8%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
predict

Xavier Becerra

Trade
94%
Yes 93.7¢No 6.4¢
0.1¢
$2,180,882
$24,330
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
94.5%
Yes 94.5¢No 5.6¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Steve Hilton

Trade
5%
Yes 5.2¢No 94.9¢
0.1¢
$299,593
$70,609
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Steve Hilton

Trade
5%
Yes 4.9¢No 95.3¢
0.2¢
$151,036
$2,690,859
0.13%
0.35%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.1¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
predict

Eleni Kounalakis

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$62,464
$31,005
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Eleni Kounalakis

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$352,056
$1,431,187
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Daniel Mercuri

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$62,445
$29,463
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Daniel Mercuri

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$329,865
$1,396,558
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Chad Bianco

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$62,572
$24,246
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Chad Bianco

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$65,205
$1,947,060
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Alex Padilla

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$62,978
$90,928
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Alex Padilla

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$345,326
$1,996,501
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Elaine Culotti

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.9¢
0.9¢
$62,317
$38,899
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Elaine Culotti

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$352,961
$1,262,294
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 0.9¢
predict

Kyle Langford

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
—
$8,484
$32,429
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Kyle Langford

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$341,559
$1,828,759
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Antonio Villaraigosa

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
—
$8,739
$12,884
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Antonio Villaraigosa

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$302,918
$1,617,980
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Katie Porter

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
—
$8,789
$149,607
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Katie Porter

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$289,951
$1,770,116
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Rick Caruso

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
—
$8,696
$20
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Rick Caruso

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$345,415
$1,797,366
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Tom Steyer

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$105,899
$4,788,976
0.03%
0.08%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
predict

Tom Steyer

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$62,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Toni Atkins

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$63,168
$2
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 46

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the 2026 California gubernatorial election, with markets resolving based on the candidate declared the winner by major news outlets and official certification.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria including the same deadline, sources, and consensus requirements.Primary resolution logic: Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (consensus required)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election
  • If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, market resolves to "Other"
  • Requires consensus confirmation from Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
  • If no consensus, resolves based on official certification

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Consensus by Deadline: If the three sources do not agree on a winner by July 31, 2027, the market resolves based on official certification
  • Tie or Split Decision: In the rare case of an exact tie or split decision, official certification will determine the resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs once all three sources call the race for the same candidate, or by July 31, 2027 if no consensus is reachedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Predict

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.