TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
polymarket
predict

Who will be the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee?

Jul 11, 2025, 3:42 PM EST - Nov 6, 2028, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$691,983,137
Volume 24h:
$335,314
677%
Liquidity:
$58,212,469
2%
Open interest:
$9,576,824N/A

J.D. Vance

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 47.3¢ buys you 211 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $211 | Net Profit: $111 Multiplier: 2.11x | ROI: 111% | APY: 41% 802 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

J.D. Vance

Trade
47%
Yes 47.3¢No 52.8¢
0.1¢
$318,515
$15,352,773
0.06%
0.5%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

J.D. Vance

Trade
45%
Yes 44.9¢No 55.4¢
0.3¢
$80,881
$45,958
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
46%
Yes 46.1¢No 54.1¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.3¢
predict

Donald Trump

Trade
78%
Yes 77.9¢No 22.1¢
—
$3,953
$40
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Donald Trump

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
0.1¢
$319,740
$9,480,007
0.01%
0.35%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
40%
Yes 40.1¢No 60¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Tucker Carlson

Trade
44%
Yes 88.6¢No 99.9¢
88.5¢
$4,245
$499
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Tucker Carlson

Trade
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.4¢
0.2¢
$292,972
$13,715,048
0.01%
2%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
23.5%
Yes 45.7¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 44.4¢Max: 88.5¢
predict

Marco Rubio

Trade
23%
Yes 23.4¢No 76.8¢
0.2¢
$56,788
$4,036
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Marco Rubio

Trade
17%
Yes 17.4¢No 82.7¢
0.1¢
$308,256
$10,293,168
0.33%
1%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
20%
Yes 20.4¢No 79.8¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

Ron DeSantis

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
0.1¢
$410,797
$15,439,504
0.08%
1%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Ron DeSantis

Trade
N/A
N/A
77.7¢
$36,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
Avg: 38.9¢Max: 77.7¢
polymarket

Donald Trump Jr.

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
$602,766
$9,612,525
0.01%
0.31%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Donald Trump Jr.

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.8¢
$63,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4.8¢
polymarket

Ted Cruz

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
0.1¢
$971,666
$18,895,295
0.09%
0.6%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Ted Cruz

Trade
N/A
N/A
77.7¢
$3,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 38.9¢Max: 77.7¢
polymarket

Glenn Youngkin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
0.1¢
$282,697
$8,629,238
0.03%
0.48%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Glenn Youngkin

Trade
N/A
N/A
77.7¢
$3,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 38.9¢Max: 77.7¢
polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.3¢
0.4¢
$1,462,012
$13,754,745
0.41%
0.6%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Tulsi Gabbard

Trade
N/A
N/A
77.7¢
$3,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.3¢
Avg: 39.1¢Max: 77.7¢
polymarket

Elon Musk

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.1¢
$2,164,657
$28,908,612
0%
0.01%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Elon Musk

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.8¢
$63,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4.8¢
polymarket

Ivanka Trump

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.4¢
0.2¢
$890,000
$8,446,394
0.12%
0.37%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Ivanka Trump

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.8¢
$63,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4.8¢
polymarket

Thomas Massie

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1¢
$440,335
$6,029,471
0.04%
0.53%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Thomas Massie

Trade
N/A
N/A
77.7¢
$6,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 38.9¢Max: 77.7¢
polymarket

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1¢
$2,216,210
$32,715,347
0%
0.06%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 84

Description

This group tracks the 2028 Republican presidential nomination race across multiple markets. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination, otherwise 'No'. The resolution source is consensus of official Republican Party sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution criteria based on official Republican Party consensus with identical edge case handling for nominee replacements.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of official Republican Party sources

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination
  • Any replacement nominee before election day does not change resolution
  • Resolution requires consensus from official Republican Party sources

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Nominee Replacement: If the nominee changes before election day, markets resolve based on the originally nominated individual
  • Declined Nomination: If the nominee rejects the offer after winning, the market resolves as 'No'
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Republican National Convention officially nominates a candidateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.