TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

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MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

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45%

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will be the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee?

Total volume:
$1,546,029,801
Volume 24h:
$228,700,135N/A
Liquidity:
$77,485,523
0.03%
Open interest:
$163,526,427
0.28%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

17%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 17.2¢ buys you 581 shares | Odds: 17% Total Payout: $581 | Net Profit: $481 Multiplier: 5.81x | ROI: 481% | APY: 137% 743 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
17%
Yes 17.2¢No 82.9¢
0.1¢
$315,116
$15,586,546
0.02%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
predict

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
14%
Yes 14.5¢No 85.6¢
0.1¢
$131,689
$1,303
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
N/A
$9,879,770
0.23%
N/A
$4,835,761
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.9%
Yes 15.2¢No 85.2¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 1¢
predict

Gavin Newsom

Trade
18%
Yes 18.2¢No 81.9¢
0.1¢
$60,851
$22,551
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Gavin Newsom

Trade
15%
1%
Yes 15.5¢No 84.6¢
0.1¢
$395,192
$28,084,203
0.03%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Gavin Newsom

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$11,338,895
0.19%
N/A
$5,149,576
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.3%
Yes 16.2¢No 84.2¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 1¢
predict

Jon Ossoff

Trade
16%
Yes 16.4¢No 83.7¢
0.1¢
$106,894
$96,177
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Jon Ossoff

Trade
15%
Yes 15.4¢No 84.7¢
0.1¢
$304,390
$13,564,113
0.04%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Jon Ossoff

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
N/A
$9,279,379
0.14%
N/A
$5,140,228
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.8%
Yes 15.3¢No 85.1¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 1¢
predict

Kamala Harris

Trade
8%
Yes 8.1¢No 92¢
0.1¢
$111,852
$82,010
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Kamala Harris

Trade
7%
Yes 7.2¢No 92.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,727,689
0.03%
N/A
$5,170,403
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Kamala Harris

Trade
7%
Yes 6.6¢No 93.5¢
0.1¢
$442,057
$14,197,368
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.8%
Yes 7.3¢No 92.8¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Alex Padilla

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.8¢
9.7¢
$64,364
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
predict

Josh Stein

Trade
5%
Yes 10¢No 99.8¢
9.8¢
$64,496
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Josh Shapiro

Trade
5%
Yes 5.4¢No 94.9¢
0.3¢
$294,855
$10,316,392
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
predict

Josh Shapiro

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 95.1¢
0.1¢
$274,428
$28,688
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Josh Shapiro

Trade
5%
Yes 4.7¢No 95.4¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,248,062
2%
N/A
$4,126,391
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 5¢No 95.1¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.3¢
polymarket

Pete Buttigieg

Trade
5%
Yes 5.2¢No 95¢
0.2¢
$438,213
$12,266,062
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

Pete Buttigieg

Trade
5%
Yes 4.7¢No 95.4¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,608,896
0%
N/A
$4,252,501
2y 1w
active
predict

Pete Buttigieg

Trade
4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
0.1¢
$256,326
$102,483
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.4¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.2¢
kalshi

Andy Beshear

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 4.9¢No 95.4¢
0.3¢
N/A
$6,896,566
0.18%
N/A
$4,669,177
2y 1w
active
polymarket

Andy Beshear

Trade
3%
Yes 3.4¢No 96.8¢
0.2¢
$420,957
$13,459,815
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
predict

Andy Beshear

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$69,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.9%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.1¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.3¢
predict

James Talarico

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
$64,280
$146
0%
N/A
N/A
2y 1w
active
kalshi

James Talarico

Trade
3%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,471,139
0.04%
N/A
$5,089,209
2y 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.6%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.8¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
Total markets: 25 of 156

Description

This group forecasts the individual who will win the Democratic Party's nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election. Resolution depends on a candidate officially winning the nomination and accepting it.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution as the named individual winning and accepting the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, using official Democratic Party sources for verification.Primary resolution logic: Official Democratic Party sources (DNC announcement, convention proceedings)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs when a named individual wins the Democratic Party's presidential nomination.
  • The candidate must *accept* the nomination for the market to resolve to 'Yes'.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before the general election does not affect resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candidate Withdraws: If a candidate withdraws *before* winning the nomination, the market resolves to 'No' for that candidate.
  • Nomination Contest Dispute: In the event of a contested nomination or dispute over the official nominee, the resolution will rely on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Timing: Upon official announcement and acceptance of the Democratic Party's presidential nomination, typically following the Democratic National Convention.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kalshi

If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Talarico wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ruben Gallego wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ro Khanna wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Murphy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kamala Harris wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gretchen Whitmer wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Shapiro wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tim Walz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Cuban wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pete Buttigieg wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wes Moore wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andy Beshear wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Roy Cooper wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.B. Pritzker wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Fetterman wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Raphael Warnock wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michelle Obama wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephen A. Smith wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Kelly wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jared Polis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rahm Emanuel wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jon Stewart wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Barack Obama wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hillary Clinton wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cory Booker wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liz Cheney wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phil Murphy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lebron James wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amy Klobuchar wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jamie Dimon wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elissa Slotkin wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dwayne Johnson wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Yang wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine Crockett wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beto O'Rourke wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Graham Platner wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elizabeth Warren wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mitch Landrieu wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Abdul El-Sayed wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.