TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$69,287,501

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,087,562,910

57,539

Markets across

1,212

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
polymarket
predict

Who will be the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee?

Jul 11, 2025, 2:35 PM EST - Nov 6, 2028, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,268,125,042
Volume 24h:
$257,620
45%
Liquidity:
$83,489,412
1%
Open interest:
$9,824,500N/A

George Clooney

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

39%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 77.8¢ buys you 129 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $129 | Net Profit: $29 Multiplier: 1.29x | ROI: 29% | APY: 12% 801 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

George Clooney

Trade
39%
Yes 77.8¢No 99.8¢
77.6¢
$4,952
$1
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

George Clooney

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$2,737,978
$43,014,092
0%
0.13%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
19.5%
Yes 39.1¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 38.9¢Max: 77.6¢
polymarket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

20%
Yes 20.5¢No 79.6¢
0.1¢
$351,523
$15,001,640
0.04%
1%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%
Yes 14.5¢No 85.6¢
0.1¢
$131,689
$1,303
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
17%
Yes 17.5¢No 82.6¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Gavin Newsom

18%
Yes 18.2¢No 81.9¢
0.1¢
$60,851
$22,551
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Gavin Newsom

15%
Yes 14.9¢No 85.2¢
0.1¢
$333,957
$26,969,600
0.09%
0.42%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
16.5%
Yes 16.5¢No 83.6¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Jon Ossoff

16%
Yes 16.4¢No 83.7¢
0.1¢
$106,894
$96,177
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Jon Ossoff

15%
Yes 15.7¢No 84.8¢
0.5¢
$303,931
$12,800,484
0%
0.6%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
15.5%
Yes 16.1¢No 84.3¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.5¢
predict

Kamala Harris

8%
Yes 8.1¢No 92¢
0.1¢
$111,852
$82,010
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Kamala Harris

8%
Yes No 92.1¢
0.1¢
$318,386
$13,080,862
0%
0.58%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
8%
Yes 8.1¢No 92.1¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Mark Kelly

10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
$64,319
$15
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Mark Kelly

3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
$361,645
$17,442,578
0.01%
0.93%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6.5%
Yes 6.6¢No 93.5¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

Alex Padilla

5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.8¢
9.7¢
$64,364
$10
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Josh Stein

5%
Yes 10¢No 99.8¢
9.8¢
$64,496
$5
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Josh Shapiro

5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95¢
0.1¢
$474,619
$9,602,409
0.03%
0.27%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Josh Shapiro

5%
Yes No 95.1¢
0.1¢
$274,428
$28,688
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Pete Buttigieg

5%
Yes 5.3¢No 94.8¢
0.1¢
$518,564
$11,917,685
0%
0.71%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Pete Buttigieg

4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
0.1¢
$256,326
$102,483
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4.5%
Yes 4.9¢No 95.2¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

James Talarico

4%
Yes No 96¢
$64,280
$146
0%
0%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

James Talarico

2%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
0.1¢
$282,154
$10,547,555
0%
0.25%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.8¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Rahm Emanuel

2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢
0.1¢
$758,994
$14,531,749
0.01%
0.16%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Rahm Emanuel

N/A
N/A
$64,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

Andy Beshear

2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.8¢
0.2¢
$625,449
$13,056,414
0%
0.43%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Andy Beshear

N/A
N/A
$69,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.8¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

Ro Khanna

2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
0.1¢
$265,649
$11,224,550
0%
0.21%
N/A
2y 2mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 102

Description

This group of markets predicts who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination, otherwise 'No'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution criteria: winner must both secure and accept the nomination, with replacement nominee clauses explicitly excluded.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of official Democratic Party sources

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" only if the named individual wins AND accepts the nomination
  • Replacement nominee before election day does not change resolution outcome
  • Resolution requires verification from official Democratic Party sources

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Replacement Nominee: If the nominated candidate withdraws and a replacement is selected before the election, the original market resolution stands — only the named individual must have been the nominee at the time of selection
  • Nomination Acceptance: Markets resolve to "No" if the nominee wins but declines to accept the position, even if this occurs after the convention
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Democratic National Convention officially nominates and the nominee accepts the nominationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.