TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

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MATCHED EVENTS:

138

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4

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45%

VS.

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55%

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Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
predict
kalshi

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Total volume:
$1,124,072
Volume 24h:
$382,265
8,034%
Liquidity:
$398,530
0%
Open interest:
$237,933
0.38%

Before Jan 20, 2029

 - Kalshi

Before Jan 20, 2029 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 67¢ buys you 149 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $149 | Net Profit: $49 Multiplier: 1.49x | ROI: 49% | APY: 20% 816 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Jan 20, 2029

Trade
67%
1%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
N/A
$744,247
0.33%
N/A
$237,933
2y 2mo 3w
active
predict

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
$398,530
$379,826
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
Total markets: 2

Description

This group asks whether Donald Trump will be formally impeached by the House of Representatives during his term as President. Impeachment refers to the act of the House bringing charges against the President, not necessarily conviction or removal from office. The markets focus on the House's action of approving articles of impeachment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets differ in their timeframe for determining impeachment. Kalshi extends to January 20, 2029, while Predict is limited to July 24, 2025 – December 31, 2026.Hero tip: Prioritize the Predict market for short-to-medium term trading due to its defined resolution window. Kalshi's broader timeframe introduces uncertainty and may resolve much later, if at all.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Trump is impeached at any point before January 20, 2029. 'If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • predict: Resolves 'Yes' if the House approves articles of impeachment between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. 'This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.