TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$116,649,581

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,625,723,678

80,271

Markets across

1,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA

Science and Technology

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

kalshi

polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Total volume:

$1,344,186

Volume 24h:

$109,581

233%

Liquidity:

$87,716

15%

Open interest:

$300,456

4%

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

- Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Amount

$

Trade on

polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 97.3¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 16% 65 days to resolution

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

97%

Yes 97.3¢

No 2.8¢

0.1¢

$87,716

$900,083

11%

N/A

N/A

2mo 5d

active

kalshi

Yes

94%

Yes 94¢

No 7¢

1¢

N/A

$444,104

6%

N/A

$300,456

2w 1h

active

Total markets: 2

Description

This group asks whether the 2026 US midterm elections will occur on their regularly scheduled date. The markets define success as the elections being held in all 50 states on November 3, 2026. Any deviation from this date will result in a 'No' resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define a 'Yes' resolution as the elections occurring on November 3, 2026, in all 50 states, and a 'No' resolution for any deviation.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the US government

Core resolution logic:

The 2026 US midterm elections must be held on November 3, 2026.
The election must occur in all 50 US states to resolve 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

Partial Disruption: If elections are delayed or cancelled in even a single state, the market resolves to 'No'.
Date Change: Any official change to the election date, even if universally applied, will result in a 'No' resolution.

Timing: Resolution will occur after official confirmation of the election results from the US government, or a strong consensus of credible reporting, following the scheduled election date of November 3, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kalshi

If the regularly scheduled biennial federal general election for the U.S. House of Representatives is conducted on time in all 50 U.S. states on the federally prescribed Election Day for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.