TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Los Angeles Mayoral Election
kalshi
polymarket

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Total volume:
$121,599,853
Volume 24h:
$181,611
22%
Liquidity:
$275,379
11%
Open interest:
$54,790,381
0.1%

Nithya Raman

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 2, 2027

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

55%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 56¢ buys you 179 shares | Odds: 55% Total Payout: $179 | Net Profit: $79 Multiplier: 1.79x | ROI: 79% | APY: 164% 218 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nithya Raman

Trade
55%
Yes 56¢No 45¢
1¢
N/A
$21,815,669
0.31%
N/A
$7,195,417
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Nithya Raman

Trade
54%
Yes 54.8¢No 46.2¢
1¢
$172,762
$3,225,587
3%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
54.9%
Yes 55.4¢No 45.6¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Karen Bass

Trade
46%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
$102,616
$1,739,736
0.42%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Karen Bass

Trade
44%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
N/A
$21,110,372
0.1%
N/A
$8,319,845
7mo 1w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
44.1%
Yes 45.5¢No 55.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Candidate H

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
disputed
polymarket

Candidate I

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
disputed
kalshi

Spencer Pratt

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,792,901
N/A
N/A
$37,936,154
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Adam Miller

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,050,919
N/A
N/A
$761,420
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Rick Caruso

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276,928
N/A
N/A
$208,622
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Rae Huang

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,589
N/A
N/A
$194,045
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Asaad Alnajjar

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,384
N/A
N/A
$94,886
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Gina Viola

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,193
N/A
N/A
$45,193
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Austin Beutner

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,982
N/A
N/A
$19,589
7mo 1w 1d
No
kalshi

Vincent Wali

View
0%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,256
N/A
N/A
$15,211
7mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

Spencer Pratt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,857,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Lindsey Horvath

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,687,268
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Rae Huang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$522,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Rick Caruso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Adam Miller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Gina Viola

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Asaad Alnajjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Austin Beutner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

Monica Rodriguez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The markets ask whether specific candidates will win, or whether another candidate will prevail. Resolution will depend on official election results or a consensus of credible reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve to 'Yes' if the specified candidate wins the election, and rely on official election results for determination.Primary resolution logic: Official results from the City of Los Angeles Election Office

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the named candidate wins the majority of votes in the initial election or a subsequent runoff election.
  • The market resolves to 'No' if any candidate *other* than those listed wins the election.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: In the unlikely event of a tie, the official tie-breaking procedures as determined by the City of Los Angeles Election Office will be followed, and the market will resolve based on that outcome.
  • Candidate Withdrawal: If a candidate withdraws before the election, the market will remain open, and resolution will proceed based on the remaining candidates.
Timing: The markets will resolve once official results are certified by the City of Los Angeles Election Office, expected in late 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Kalshi

If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rick Caruso wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Asaad Alnajjar wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vincent Wali wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gina Viola wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rae Huang wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spencer Pratt wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Beutner wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Miller wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.