TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA

Science and Technology

Trump out as President before 2027?

polymarket

predict

Trump out as President before 2027?

Total volume:

$13,476,184

Volume 24h:

$301,525

524%

Liquidity:

$591,113

2%

Open interest:

$3,538,883N/A

Trump out as President before 2027?

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Trump out as President before 2027?

Amount

$

Trade on

predict

Trade on Predict

At 5.8¢ buys you 1,724 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,724 | Net Profit: $1,624 Multiplier: 17.24x | ROI: 1,624% APY not meaningful 64 days to resolution

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

predict

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%

Yes 5.8¢

No 94.3¢

0.1¢

$314,943

$241,659

0%

N/A

N/A

2mo 4d

active

polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%

1%

Yes 4.2¢

No 96¢

0.2¢

$276,170

$13,234,526

0.45%

N/A

N/A

2mo 5d

active

PH Consensus

4.1%

Yes 5¢

No 95.2¢

Avg: 0.2¢

Max: 0.2¢

Total markets: 2

Description

This group asks whether Donald Trump will leave office as President of the United States before January 1, 2027. Resolution depends on a permanent removal from office via resignation, removal, or a sustained 25th Amendment invocation, with announcements of resignation/removal triggering immediate resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on permanent removal from office and relying on a consensus of credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only permanent removal from office qualifies; temporary removals or impeachment without removal do not.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (confirmed by both Houses of Congress) qualifies as a 'Yes' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

Announcement vs. Effectivity: An announcement of resignation/removal before the end date resolves the market to 'Yes' regardless of when the removal actually takes effect.
Temporary 25th Amendment Invocation: A temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment (Section 3) does not resolve to 'Yes'.
Impeachment without Removal: Impeachment by the House of Representatives, but without subsequent removal by the Senate, does not resolve to 'Yes'.

Timing: The market will resolve immediately upon an announcement of Donald Trump's resignation or removal, or upon a sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4, but no later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.