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Yulia Navalnaya
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 10, 2026
Latest in Politics
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
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Description
This group of markets predicts who will be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026. The markets cover numerous individuals and organizations, with specific resolution rules for joint awards and prioritization of certain individuals.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution logic based on the official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, with consistent rules for joint awards, prioritized individuals, and alphabetical ordering.Primary resolution logic: Norwegian Nobel CommitteeCore resolution logic:
- If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, resolve to a single winner
- If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among recipients, resolve to the highest-ranked in that exact order
- If no prioritized individuals and prize awarded jointly to an individual and an organization, resolve in favor of the individual
- If no prioritized individuals and all recipients are of the same type, resolve to the name that comes first in alphabetical order
- If no official announcement by March 31, 2027, resolve to 'Other'
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Joint Award with Prioritized and Non-Prioritized: Resolves to the highest-ranked prioritized individual if any are among the recipients
- All Recipients Same Type: Resolves to the name that comes first in alphabetical order among listed options
- No Announcement by Deadline: Resolves to 'Other' regardless of any later announcements
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Predict
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
