TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Breaking
polymarket

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Aug 12, 2026, 7:55 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$353,996
Volume 24h:
$18,414
65%
Liquidity:
$123,451
133%
Open interest:
$41,613N/A

Xiaomi

 - Polymarket

Xiaomi - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:05h:49m

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

77%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 79.9¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 77% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Xiaomi

Trade
77%
11%
Yes 79.9¢No 25.2¢
5.1¢
$9,300
$50,461
4%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

Breaking
14%
9%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
4¢
$20,845
$69,546
8%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

4%
3%
Yes 4.8¢No 96.9¢
1.7¢
$15,236
$75,035
3%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.5¢
0.6¢
$10,617
$30,431
5%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$13,271
$23,881
7%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$9,261
$22,140
6%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$10,074
$21,822
6%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$14,187
$20,214
12%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$12,262
$21,189
6%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$4,320
$12,035
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$4,078
$7,242
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 49m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".